NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	129		Excitement	11.8 [17]		MVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): +33.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	135		Comeback	7.0 [349]		LVP	Svi Mykhailiuk (DET): -20.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Jackson	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27	0.09	0.19	0.02	20	67%	0.40	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0.27	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.36,0.26,0.27	0.09	0.18	0.01	27	52%	0.28	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.14
Mason Plumlee	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.12	0.01	0.12	0.02	7	79%	0.25	5	-0.14	5	60%	-0.01
Delon Wright	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	-0.04	0.02	10	92%	0.25	3	-0.18	4	50%	-0.02
Saben Lee	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney McGruder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sekou Doumbouya	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Saddiq Bey	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	7	39%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2	-0.00	-0.20	0.00	9	61%	-0.01	3	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.09	0.25	0.01	22	62%	0.38	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.20	0.00	5	77%	0.31	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.04	9	85%	0.14	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	8	62%	0.13	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	78%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	6	33%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.08	-0.01	10	64%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.17,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.4,-0.27,-0.27,-0.37,-0.27,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	26	57%	0.28	7	-0.33	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	32.5	13.8	30.2	1.7	26.6	1.8	15.6	1.8	15.2	169.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +55.5%

DET -29.0%

DET -9.2%

LAL +29.3%

LAL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAL	NBA	DET	LAL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	14.4	111.2	116.4	111.3
season	15.0	14.6		107.0	108.6
opponent	14.5	14.2		106.7	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	15.2	15.1	16.8	16.2	17.7	15.9
LAL	12.5	11.6	13.8	18.8	15.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Saben Lee	10	11	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.04	7	-13	20	15.0	15.8	-0.77	19.4	13.8	5.60
Delon Wright	80	80	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-11	16	16.3	14.4	1.91	13.8	15.3	-1.47
Josh Jackson	72	73	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.41	13	-19	32	15.3	16.4	-1.09	15.6	12.1	3.50
Isaiah Stewart	22	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-4	2	15.1	15.9	-0.76	13.3	14.5	-1.20
Svi Mykhailiuk	76	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-5	4	15.0	17.0	-1.97	15.0	13.0	1.94
Rodney McGruder	16	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	6	-18	14.7	15.9	-1.18	11.4	14.7	-3.32
Sekou Doumbouya	51	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	6	-18	16.2	15.3	0.94	13.7	14.7	-1.01
Jerami Grant	95	95	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	15.9	14.6	1.33	14.1	15.1	-1.04
Mason Plumlee	94	94	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	15.9	15.1	0.76	14.5	13.3	1.20
Saddiq Bey	54	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	8	-22	16.3	15.2	1.10	12.5	15.9	-3.42

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	85	84	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.26	9	-3	12	15.0	12.2	2.82	16.5	13.5	3.00
Dennis Schroder	80	79	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-5	16	14.2	14.5	-0.34	16.6	13.9	2.70
LeBron James	94	95	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	-2	10	14.1	15.0	-0.93	15.4	17.2	-1.87
Marc Gasol	42	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	0	6	12.5	15.3	-2.89	17.1	14.9	2.18
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	71	70	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	-3	12	14.3	14.4	-0.10	16.8	14.0	2.83
Montrezl Harrell	50	51	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	7	-8	13.9	14.6	-0.66	14.8	16.4	-1.68
Talen Horton-Tucker	42	44	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.22	-7	13	-20	14.5	14.2	0.29	15.3	16.0	-0.70
Kyle Kuzma	52	51	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	9	-12	14.5	14.1	0.37	14.5	16.7	-2.24
Alex Caruso	54	54	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.18	-8	14	-22	14.6	14.0	0.59	14.1	17.1	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.71,0.72,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 118, PHX 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.89,0.77,0.91,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.84,1	89.2%
PHI 113, NYK 119	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.8,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.55,0.37,0.55,0.74,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.27,0.46,0.46,0.63,0.84,0.98,1	88.0%
MIA 71, NOH 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.7,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.84,1	87.0%