NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	110		Excitement	9.9 [66]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAS): +44.4%
New Orleans Pelicans	108		Comeback	4.4 [226]		LVP	Brandon Ingram (NOP): -16.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.44	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0,0,0.28,0.3,0.44	0.06	0.35	-0.04	21	59%	0.60	5	-0.16	12	100%	0.13
Derrick White	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.11	0.13	0.01	16	65%	0.26	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luka Samanic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Devin Vassell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Keita Bates-Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	73%	0.08	3	-0.09	9	67%	-0.02
Patty Mills	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	13	39%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Keldon Johnson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.10	0.02	12	50%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.09	0.02	23	56%	0.21	2	-0.04	13	54%	-0.08
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	16	75%	0.28	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kira Lewis Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	35%	-0.03	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	5	43%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.18	2	0%	-0.04
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.12	0.02	21	50%	-0.08	4	-0.09	6	83%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.0	34.8	13.7	33.6	2.3	31.4	140.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +20.6%

SAS +33.3%

NOP -15.0%

SAS +14.0%

NOP -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NOP	NBA	SAS	NOP	NBA
this game	14.2	12.6	14.4	101.9	100.9	111.3
season	14.6	14.0		109.8	112.4
opponent	14.4	14.2		112.5	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.8	13.3	15.6	14.2	14.2
NOP	11.4	11.6	12.1	15.8	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	83	82	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.54	5	-3	8	14.3	13.7	0.63	12.6	12.4	0.23
DeMar DeRozan	84	85	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.42	5	-3	8	14.2	14.4	-0.22	12.2	14.0	-1.73
Derrick White	84	82	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.44	2	0	2	14.3	13.9	0.37	12.9	11.7	1.17
Dejounte Murray	78	78	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.46	1	1	0	14.2	14.1	0.10	12.8	12.1	0.65
Keldon Johnson	76	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.50	-4	6	-10	14.6	13.3	1.31	12.9	12.0	0.88
Keita Bates-Diop	6	5	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	-2	6	11.3	14.4	-3.04	12.2	12.6	-0.40
Devin Vassell	14	14	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	-3	8	15.9	13.9	1.98	11.4	12.8	-1.41
Luka Samanic	14	14	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	0	2	13.1	14.4	-1.30	11.5	12.7	-1.24
Patty Mills	45	45	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	6	-10	13.6	14.6	-1.03	13.1	12.2	0.92
Lonnie Walker IV	31	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.09	-1	3	-4	14.3	14.2	0.08	12.1	12.8	-0.72
Drew Eubanks	25	25	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.07	-5	7	-12	13.7	14.3	-0.63	12.4	12.6	-0.23

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wes Iwundu	21	22	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-4	6	15.0	12.0	3.07	14.1	14.2	-0.14
Willy Hernangomez	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-4	6	13.5	12.5	1.02	15.5	14.1	1.39
Jaxson Hayes	32	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-1	0	13.7	12.1	1.54	13.1	14.6	-1.55
Kira Lewis Jr.	37	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-4	6	13.4	12.2	1.18	12.9	14.9	-1.94
Eric Bledsoe	54	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	4	-10	11.3	13.9	-2.59	14.3	14.1	0.21
Naji Marshall	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-4	6	13.1	11.5	1.63	14.3	14.1	0.23
Steven Adams	72	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.34	-2	0	-2	11.6	14.7	-3.09	14.7	13.2	1.56
Lonzo Ball	75	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.40	-1	-1	0	12.6	12.6	0.02	14.7	13.1	1.65
Brandon Ingram	79	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	4	-10	12.2	13.8	-1.63	14.3	13.8	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.21,0.35,0.46,0.75,0.63,0.45,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 108, TOR 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.27,0	91.5%
SAS 105, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.57,0.43,0.27,0	91.4%
GSW 112, TOR 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.47,0.76,0.46,0.43,0.27,0	91.3%