inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 105 Excitement9.1 [98] MVPBruce Bowen (SAS): +21.1%
Dallas Mavericks 102 Comeback1.9 [422] LVPNick Van Exel (DAL): -33.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.210.050.160.00764%0.2100.0000%0.00
Terry Porter0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.02850%0.0400.002100%0.01
David Robinson0.010,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.011256%0.0100.001580%-0.01
Tim Duncan-0.000,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.02,0.02,-0.03,00.06-0.07-0.002162%0.052-0.051080%-0.01
Tony Parker-0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.011250%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Malik Rose-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03-0.060.02-0.01550%0.022-0.05667%-0.00
Danny Ferry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03-0.040.010.00233%0.001-0.042100%0.05
Charles Smith-0.070,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.01333%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13-0.01-0.120.00850%-0.091-0.0420%-0.12

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Nash0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.22,0.20.200.130.06-0.001972%0.253-0.061100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.050.050.09-0.040.011963%0.071-0.02887%0.01
Wang Zhi-zhi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.001100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.001346%0.0200.0000%0.00
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05-0.050.02-0.070.00183%-0.0500.00475%-0.07
Michael Finley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.09-0.090.04-0.080.051760%0.023-0.111100%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.06-0.140.00312%-0.1900.00250%-0.04
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.33-0.33-0.19-0.15-0.01128%-0.292-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.51.827.116.421.62.446.2137.9
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +36.3%
SAS +13.5%
SAS +9.5%
DAL -8.9%
DAL -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game16.514.315.6111.7109.7102.3
season15.814.8104.3109.6
opponent15.515.7105.898.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.414.819.516.616.5
DAL13.415.813.914.114.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Daniels58600.63-0.130.760.369-61515.817.6-1.8215.212.72.49
Tony Parker59590.59-0.090.680.474-1516.217.0-0.7713.615.6-2.03
David Robinson62610.54-0.040.590.347-41117.015.51.5514.513.90.55
Tim Duncan89880.500.000.500.4130316.614.81.7814.216.4-2.22
Bruce Bowen67670.320.180.130.37-25-716.815.71.0514.015.2-1.24
Danny Ferry30290.120.38-0.25-0.056-3915.517.0-1.5014.814.10.71
Terry Porter36330.030.47-0.450.06-14-516.516.50.0216.013.32.68
Malik Rose3737-0.040.54-0.580.08-47-1115.417.2-1.8314.314.3-0.05
Charles Smith3231-0.190.69-0.870.02-710-1718.615.43.1912.515.2-2.77

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wang Zhi-zhi330.20-0.700.89-0.017-10179.014.5-5.4821.316.35.00
Avery Johnson1313-0.09-0.410.31-0.01-30-313.614.4-0.8015.616.6-1.01
Raef LaFrentz5861-0.13-0.370.240.10-85-1315.312.72.5416.915.71.17
Eduardo Najera2223-0.21-0.290.08-0.303-6916.013.82.2317.216.30.91
Dirk Nowitzki8382-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.332-5713.818.7-4.9316.814.72.09
Steve Nash8687-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.43-1-2114.413.40.9416.417.4-1.01
Greg Buckner2929-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.31-63-914.114.4-0.3414.317.4-3.10
Michael Finley9394-0.500.00-0.50-0.41-30-314.30.014.3016.50.016.49
Nick Van Exel7878-0.540.04-0.58-0.37-63-914.015.9-1.8716.516.30.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.57,0.43,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 103, BKN 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.28,091.8%
SAS 108, TOR 1060.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.27,091.2%
PHX 118, BOS 1140.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,091.0%