NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	110		Excitement	8.7 [172]		MVP	Jonas Valanciunas (MEM): +44.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	116		Comeback	8.2 [228]		LVP	Ja Morant (MEM): -19.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin James	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.24	0.13	-0.02	17	82%	0.43	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Terence Davis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	13	62%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Louis King	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	60%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chimezie Metu	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	16	50%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Richaun Holmes	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Damian Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Delon Wright	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.05	0.03	15	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	6	21%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Buddy Hield	-0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.14,-0.14	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	17	47%	0.02	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.18	0.29	0.03	10	86%	0.48	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.08
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.12	0.00	6	108%	0.31	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.08	0.00	7	75%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	28	52%	0.14	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	39%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.01	11	52%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	12	46%	0.05	6	-0.24	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	27.5	15.3	26.4	2.4	32.3	132.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +25.9%

MEM +23.6%

MEM +10.7%

SAC -10.9%

MEM +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MEM	NBA	SAC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.4	14.4	14.4	114.6	119.6	111.3
season	14.0	14.0		112.2	111.2
opponent	14.5	14.4		110.4	115.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.3	15.0	14.9	16.6	15.4
MEM	14.1	13.8	14.5	15.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Louis King	16	16	0.45	-0.95	1.41	0.16	10	-16	26	15.3	15.4	-0.14	19.4	13.4	6.01
Damian Jones	52	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-3	0	15.1	15.8	-0.72	13.4	15.5	-2.11
Richaun Holmes	20	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-2	-2	14.9	15.6	-0.67	15.6	14.1	1.57
Justin James	63	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.38	6	-12	18	15.6	15.1	0.47	14.5	14.2	0.26
Terence Davis	57	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.26	2	-8	10	15.5	15.3	0.16	14.5	14.4	0.08
Buddy Hield	72	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-2	-2	15.5	15.2	0.24	14.4	14.5	-0.16
Chimezie Metu	65	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	1	-8	15.5	15.3	0.25	14.8	13.6	1.24
Delon Wright	74	76	-1.16	0.66	-1.83	-0.52	-22	16	-38	15.6	14.7	0.97	13.7	17.0	-3.35

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ja Morant	77	76	1.20	-0.70	1.90	0.47	25	-19	44	13.6	17.4	-3.81	15.9	13.4	2.50
Jonas Valanciunas	66	66	1.08	-0.58	1.66	0.44	22	-16	38	13.6	16.2	-2.56	16.2	13.7	2.46
Kyle Anderson	62	61	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.44	19	-13	32	13.8	15.6	-1.80	16.1	14.3	1.75
Desmond Bane	46	45	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.68	9	-3	12	13.4	15.3	-1.88	15.7	15.2	0.49
Dillon Brooks	75	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-4	14	14.4	14.4	0.08	15.4	15.4	0.08
Xavier Tillman	13	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	10	-14	13.7	14.5	-0.84	13.1	15.8	-2.68
John Konchar	12	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	12	-18	14.6	14.4	0.18	13.7	15.7	-2.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	40	40	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.22	-2	8	-10	16.3	13.1	3.19	14.5	16.1	-1.55
De'Anthony Melton	32	32	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	-0.20	-11	17	-28	15.8	13.8	2.03	15.6	15.3	0.30
Brandon Clarke	42	42	-0.62	1.12	-1.74	-0.24	-13	19	-32	15.1	13.9	1.14	14.9	15.9	-1.01
Tyus Jones	20	20	-0.70	1.20	-1.90	-0.14	-19	25	-44	17.4	13.6	3.81	13.4	15.9	-2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.39,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.11,0.32,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 115, ATL 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.38,0.21,0.32,0.83,1	89.4%
CLE 88, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.36,0.45,0.84,1	89.1%
LAC 100, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.54,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.42,1	88.7%