NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	135		Excitement	11.6 [25]		MVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): +48.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	147		Comeback	24.0 [43]		LVP	Joe Harris (BKN): -18.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.37	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.09	0.25	-0.03	8	89%	0.44	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.17	0.06	-0.01	25	60%	0.37	2	-0.13	13	85%	0.05
Kyrie Irving	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	0.01	28	61%	0.23	4	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	7	87%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.14,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	14	62%	0.18	5	-0.18	6	100%	0.11
Reggie Perry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	6	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.04	-0.13	0.01	10	30%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.09,-0.14,-0.23,-0.18,-0.27,0.13,0.2,0.39,0.43,0.48,0.48	0.48	0.21	0.32	0.05	29	63%	0.69	1	-0.21	9	56%	-0.12
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.08	0.23	0.00	10	62%	0.31	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.05	-0.00	17	68%	0.26	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	12	62%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	10	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	9	77%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	9	44%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	13	48%	0.02	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	24.4	14.8	26.5	1.8	33.3	3.4	15.3	2.6	10.0	158.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +95.2%

BKN -33.9%

BKN -3.6%

BKN -9.2%

CLE +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CLE	NBA	BKN	CLE	NBA
this game	13.5	15.4	14.4	110.7	123.5	111.3
season	14.1	15.2		116.6	104.5
opponent	14.0	14.6		112.9	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BKN	12.3	11.2	16.8	15.8	11.4	13.5
CLE	15.4	15.0	13.2	20.2	12.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	83	82	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.03	2	-14	16	14.0	12.5	1.55	15.8	14.5	1.27
Joe Harris	77	74	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-14	16	13.7	13.3	0.40	15.7	14.8	0.87
Kevin Durant	108	104	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-14	16	13.2	15.6	-2.40	15.3	16.0	-0.70
DeAndre Jordan	52	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-12	12	13.6	13.5	0.11	14.6	16.0	-1.40
Bruce Brown	16	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.14	-11	-1	-10	12.4	13.7	-1.31	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	25	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-4	-4	13.1	13.6	-0.55	14.1	15.7	-1.65
James Harden	105	103	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-7	2	13.2	15.5	-2.34	15.7	13.1	2.69
Reggie Perry	21	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-1	-10	15.2	13.2	2.02	15.0	15.5	-0.53
Kyrie Irving	101	99	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-5	-2	13.5	13.4	0.11	15.5	14.8	0.71

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Prince	66	67	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.34	20	-8	28	15.3	15.5	-0.15	13.1	14.0	-0.95
Jarrett Allen	64	64	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	2	8	15.4	15.3	0.08	13.9	13.1	0.75
Damyean Dotson	52	52	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-2	16	15.3	15.4	-0.11	13.4	13.6	-0.23
Collin Sexton	78	83	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	-2	16	15.2	15.7	-0.45	13.4	13.8	-0.41
Larry Nance Jr.	93	95	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	9	-6	15.4	15.3	0.05	13.1	15.0	-1.86
Cedi Osman	93	94	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	6	0	15.2	16.2	-1.03	13.7	12.9	0.86
Andre Drummond	53	54	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	17	-22	15.3	15.5	-0.15	13.8	13.3	0.54
Isaac Okoro	86	90	-0.61	1.11	-1.71	-0.20	-14	26	-40	15.9	14.0	1.88	13.8	12.7	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.58,0.46,0.32,0.11,0.25,0.15,0.46,0.62,0.93,0.93,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, MIL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.63,0.54,0.39,0.21,0.12,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.78,0.92,1	88.2%
HOU 99, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.56,0.72,0.66,0.85,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.09,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.97,0.99,1	87.7%
MIN 140, OKC 149	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.7,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.91,0.79,0.78,0.91,0.54,0.25,0.29,0.43,0.53,0.46,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.99,1	87.0%