NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	125		Excitement	12.1 [14]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAS): +92.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	122		Comeback	4.2 [303]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -13.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.92	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.92	0.20	0.72	-0.00	23	64%	0.95	1	-0.03	13	92%	0.17
Patty Mills	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.41,0.41,0.44	0.17	0.25	-0.03	14	75%	0.44	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.09	-0.01	18	52%	0.25	2	-0.13	6	83%	0.03
Keldon Johnson	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	12	61%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.04	11	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Vassell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.00	-0.11	0.00	9	50%	-0.05	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	3	12%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.15	-0.00	17	62%	0.35	3	-0.13	6	83%	0.02
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.06	0.03	20	72%	0.26	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.00	8	89%	0.24	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17	0.17	-0.02	0.17	-0.01	11	54%	0.28	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Culver	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	6	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.10	0.13	0.01	22	34%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Jake Layman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	7	43%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.7	1.7	27.5	15.3	28.4	2.0	35.9	1.8	9.3	145.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -16.5%

SAS +47.9%

MIN -11.4%

SAS +26.9%

SAS +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIN	NBA	SAS	MIN	NBA
this game	14.0	15.2	14.4	112.6	114.0	111.3
season	14.6	14.1		109.8	108.7
opponent	14.0	14.2		113.9	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	15.2	13.0	14.6	12.0	18.1	14.0
MIN	14.8	15.3	14.8	15.3	17.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dejounte Murray	85	82	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.49	7	-4	11	14.3	12.9	1.39	15.5	14.4	1.05
DeMar DeRozan	90	86	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.46	4	-1	5	14.3	12.8	1.52	15.6	13.7	1.86
Keldon Johnson	87	84	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	-1	5	14.1	13.7	0.31	15.1	15.4	-0.29
Lonnie Walker IV	56	55	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	-3	9	14.9	13.0	1.89	15.3	15.1	0.25
Patty Mills	66	63	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.24	0	3	-3	13.2	15.2	-2.00	14.8	15.8	-0.96
LaMarcus Aldridge	55	55	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	1	1	14.1	13.9	0.13	15.5	14.9	0.59
Rudy Gay	38	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	6	-9	12.6	14.7	-2.11	14.0	15.9	-1.88
Jakob Poeltl	37	34	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.07	-3	6	-9	13.5	14.3	-0.80	15.2	15.2	0.00
Devin Vassell	32	31	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.14	-5	8	-13	13.2	14.3	-1.17	14.8	15.4	-0.61

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarred Vanderbilt	25	27	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-5	7	14.3	15.5	-1.16	14.6	13.8	0.75
Juancho Hernangomez	46	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-2	1	15.2	15.2	-0.09	14.3	13.8	0.46
Jake Layman	11	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	2	-7	15.2	15.2	-0.03	11.6	14.2	-2.61
Anthony Edwards	62	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-5	7	14.9	15.6	-0.76	13.5	14.7	-1.25
Jarrett Culver	59	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	1	-5	15.8	14.5	1.24	14.8	13.0	1.80
D'Angelo Russell	76	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	0	-3	15.6	14.4	1.20	13.9	14.3	-0.44
Ricky Rubio	69	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	2	-7	15.2	15.2	0.03	13.3	15.2	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.38,0.39,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 104, NYK 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.46,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.27,0	90.2%
POR 112, MEM 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.06,0.09,0	89.6%
NJN 113, CHA 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.73,0.46,0.38,0.16,0.04,0.01,0	89.5%