NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	112		Excitement	11.7 [16]		MVP	Allen Crabbe (POR): +58.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	106		Comeback	39.2 [21]		LVP	Ed Davis (POR): -29.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0.58	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58	0.09	0.49	0.00	8	76%	0.60	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.08	0.14	-0.01	12	67%	0.25	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.18,0.16,0.11	-0.04	0.15	-0.01	24	44%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.09
Meyers Leonard	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	5	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	0.09	-0.20	0.04	22	59%	-0.01	4	-0.14	12	83%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	0.01	-0.28	0.02	4	58%	-0.25	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.05

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.16,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.29	0.29	0.11	0.18	-0.01	17	67%	0.48	4	-0.19	6	83%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	-0.01	0.00	19	65%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	6	73%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	12	46%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	14	40%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08	-0.08	0.04	-0.09	0.03	4	67%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.08
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.2	-0.20	-0.04	-0.16	0.00	6	42%	-0.03	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.1	2.4	30.5	15.5	25.8	2.0	41.9	1.8	18.1	167.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +26.8%

MEM -9.8%

MEM -1.2%

POR +32.0%

POR +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	14.9	16.7	14.9	112.0	105.0	105.1
season	15.0	15.7		107.1	103.4
opponent	14.8	14.6		106.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	13.5	18.4	15.8	13.9	11.9	14.9
MEM	16.5	18.6	16.2	15.5	17.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	81	82	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.42	10	-4	14	14.4	17.4	-2.99	17.0	15.4	1.62
Gerald Henderson	69	71	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.25	13	-7	20	13.5	18.3	-4.79	16.2	17.7	-1.49
Allen Crabbe	42	42	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.29	9	-3	12	13.5	16.0	-2.54	15.5	17.5	-1.94
Ed Davis	54	51	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	2	2	13.9	16.2	-2.35	15.6	17.8	-2.21
CJ McCollum	69	71	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	9	-12	16.1	12.5	3.57	16.6	16.8	-0.17
Meyers Leonard	21	23	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.11	-1	7	-8	15.6	14.8	0.85	18.0	16.3	1.76
Maurice Harkless	47	44	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	6	-6	15.5	14.5	1.06	16.2	17.0	-0.77
Tim Frazier	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	7	-8	16.7	14.9	1.87	15.3	16.7	-1.39
Al-Farouq Aminu	71	73	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	6	-6	16.3	11.7	4.54	17.4	14.8	2.58
Mason Plumlee	42	45	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	7	-8	16.2	14.1	2.10	17.9	15.7	2.13

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaMychal Green	25	25	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.14	2	-8	10	15.0	17.2	-2.18	14.7	15.0	-0.31
Courtney Lee	47	48	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.18	-3	-3	0	16.9	16.5	0.47	14.6	15.3	-0.67
Marc Gasol	22	21	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-8	10	17.1	16.6	0.52	14.2	15.1	-0.90
Ryan Hollins	10	11	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.04	2	-8	10	15.3	16.8	-1.54	15.8	14.8	0.98
Vince Carter	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	-4	2	16.2	16.8	-0.59	17.4	14.5	2.89
Mario Chalmers	46	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-4	2	15.6	17.6	-2.01	14.4	15.5	-1.11
Zach Randolph	75	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-2	-2	17.3	14.9	2.37	15.2	14.2	1.08
Jeff Green	75	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	0	-6	16.3	17.8	-1.57	14.5	16.3	-1.89
Matt Barnes	56	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	0	-6	15.7	18.0	-2.29	13.9	16.4	-2.54
Tony Allen	71	66	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.52	-5	-1	-4	17.9	13.7	4.24	15.8	13.3	2.46
Mike Conley	62	61	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.45	-8	2	-10	17.4	15.5	1.86	15.6	13.9	1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 113, CHA 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.73,0.46,0.38,0.16,0.04,0.01,0	91.4%
SAC 105, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.91,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.16,0	90.4%
LAL 99, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.64,0.8,0.95,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.27,0	90.3%