inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 124 Excitement11.9 [15] MVPMaxi Kleber (DAL): +68.6%
Denver Nuggets 117 Comeback6.2 [132] LVPJamal Murray (DEN): -9.2%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Maxi Kleber0.690,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.25,0.14,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.690.040.64-0.01764%0.711-0.0200%0.00
Boban Marjanovic0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.110.050.00775%0.1500.002100%0.01
Josh Richardson0.150,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.15,0.15-0.020.16-0.001544%0.171-0.032100%0.01
James Johnson0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.030.11-0.00570%0.161-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Powell0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.040.002100%0.1200.003100%0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.01-0.001258%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jalen Brunson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.06-0.00558%0.092-0.052100%0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00183%0.0400.00475%0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.01-0.001144%0.0100.00367%0.00
Josh Green0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luka Doncic-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,-0.04,-0.22,-0.09,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.030.05-0.040.042264%0.398-0.421567%-0.03

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,-0.09,0.14,0.21,0.1,0.5,0.5,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.340.340.040.26-0.033153%0.493-0.151060%-0.16
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.110.050.01975%0.1500.002100%0.01
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.1,0.10.100.020.090.00757%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.02-0.01769%0.0900.00250%-0.01
PJ Dozier0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.050.050.010.04-0.00850%0.091-0.032100%0.02
Isaiah Hartenstein00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.02-0.001050%0.063-0.0800%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.01633%-0.002-0.053100%0.02
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09-0.090.00-0.080.011952%-0.013-0.092100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game30.90.630.414.826.42.735.51.813.0156.0
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.72.315.8135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +75.6%
DAL +16.0%
DEN -28.8%
DEN -8.9%
DEN -3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALDENNBADALDENNBA
this game14.115.414.4114.8108.3111.3
season15.015.0114.3116.0
opponent14.414.4112.3112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DAL13.514.816.512.213.014.1
DEN14.813.515.517.217.015.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luka Doncic88870.66-0.160.810.2514-72113.914.6-0.7115.415.10.28
Willie Cauley-Stein55550.400.100.290.2843113.214.9-1.7116.014.81.21
Josh Richardson82820.350.150.200.3216-514.712.02.6815.714.31.35
Dorian Finney-Smith75740.300.200.100.33-18-914.612.81.8515.115.9-0.70
Jalen Brunson39380.200.30-0.09-0.038-1913.414.5-1.0815.215.5-0.25
Dwight Powell21200.160.34-0.170.0734-115.113.81.2714.715.5-0.76
Tim Hardaway Jr.49520.010.49-0.49-0.0834-113.914.3-0.4015.715.10.62
Boban Marjanovic3232-0.080.58-0.66-0.0807-714.813.71.0915.115.5-0.44
Josh Green67-0.090.59-0.680.03-411-1511.014.3-3.2513.015.5-2.53
James Johnson1920-0.200.70-0.900.04-815-2313.814.1-0.2815.415.40.10

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Millsap58580.61-1.111.710.465-121715.315.5-0.2014.413.60.81
Isaiah Hartenstein12110.11-0.610.72-0.076-131912.315.7-3.4216.113.82.25
Monte Morris50490.08-0.580.66-0.013-101314.815.8-1.0214.813.51.32
JaMychal Green3839-0.12-0.380.27-0.06-2-5314.715.7-0.9814.114.1-0.04
Gary Harris7172-0.21-0.280.070.02-81-915.115.9-0.8814.014.2-0.26
Nikola Jokic8285-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.24-6-1-515.913.82.0113.914.8-0.90
Will Barton6970-0.530.03-0.56-0.24-103-1315.315.4-0.1014.413.41.05
Jamal Murray9594-0.640.14-0.77-0.34-103-1315.613.42.2613.716.4-2.62
PJ Dozier5552-0.890.39-1.27-0.71-6-1-516.014.71.3213.314.8-1.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.38,0.54,0.34,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.3,0.43,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 104, CHA 960.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.37,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.04,089.8%
CHA 104, TOR 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.75,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.61,0.46,0.32,0.73,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.16,089.4%
MIL 113, CHH 1070.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.58,0.5,0.31,0.55,0.57,0.04,089.2%