NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	132		Excitement	13.3 [10]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +62.0%
Denver Nuggets	134		Comeback	9.7 [140]		LVP	Mike Conley (UTA): -21.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.61	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.17,-0.28,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.61	-0.03	0.63	-0.02	33	48%	0.76	5	-0.15	7	86%	0.05
Tony Bradley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.04
Jordan Clarkson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.05	-0.01	14	61%	0.19	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Georges Niang	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.00	5	90%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miye Oni	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.01	9	61%	0.16	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jarrell Brantley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	0.03	-0.21	0.02	16	55%	-0.10	3	-0.10	8	50%	-0.08
Mike Conley	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21	-0.04	-0.16	0.02	19	51%	-0.09	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.18,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62	0.62	0.08	0.54	-0.01	21	62%	0.74	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.11
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.04	0.02	9	79%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.01	3	56%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0.01,0.13,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.15	0.03	25	43%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.08
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	18	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	9	61%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	0.12	-0.07	0.05	12	68%	0.06	1	-0.06	7	86%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	18%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
PJ Dozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	6	33%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	22.5	3.5	27.8	16.0	30.8	2.8	40.3	2.5	18.9	1.8	20.5	187.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -8.3%

UTA -0.3%

DEN +7.0%

DEN +40.5%

DEN +11.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	14.1	14.6	14.2	108.2	110.7	109.6
season	14.9	15.0		112.1	112.0
opponent	14.5	14.2		110.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	14.9	15.0	12.7	14.5	14.5	14.3
DEN	14.5	14.4	16.2	13.7	12.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Clarkson	57	54	0.54	-1.04	1.58	0.25	10	-12	22	14.2	13.9	0.25	13.1	15.8	-2.67
Miye Oni	22	22	0.39	-0.89	1.28	-0.05	15	-17	32	12.7	14.3	-1.62	14.8	14.5	0.28
Rudy Gobert	85	85	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.13	4	-6	10	14.4	13.2	1.21	14.8	14.0	0.84
Georges Niang	30	28	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-5	8	14.4	13.9	0.45	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Jarrell Brantley	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	0	-2	15.0	13.9	1.06	17.2	14.3	2.96
Donovan Mitchell	98	99	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.46	2	-4	6	14.0	14.2	-0.24	14.6	14.7	-0.17
Tony Bradley	35	35	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	2	-6	13.5	14.3	-0.80	14.3	14.7	-0.38
Mike Conley	93	92	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.55	-2	0	-2	13.6	15.4	-1.78	15.0	13.1	1.91
Joe Ingles	98	97	-1.09	0.59	-1.68	-0.39	-24	22	-46	14.3	13.1	1.16	14.3	15.9	-1.61
Royce O'Neale	79	80	-1.17	0.67	-1.83	-0.82	-12	10	-22	14.2	13.8	0.34	14.9	13.9	1.00

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Porter Jr.	90	92	1.55	-1.05	2.60	1.17	13	-11	24	15.3	12.6	2.61	14.2	13.6	0.61
Nikola Jokic	85	89	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.59	9	-7	16	14.8	14.1	0.76	14.0	14.3	-0.30
Jamal Murray	82	84	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-5	12	14.7	14.3	0.49	14.0	14.2	-0.26
Torrey Craig	71	72	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	-3	8	14.5	14.7	-0.16	14.4	13.6	0.78
Jerami Grant	87	88	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	0	2	14.5	14.7	-0.17	13.9	14.4	-0.45
Paul Millsap	44	46	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.01	-3	5	-8	15.8	13.9	1.90	14.5	13.8	0.71
Mason Plumlee	35	32	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.23	-4	6	-10	14.0	14.8	-0.87	14.2	14.0	0.18
Monte Morris	49	49	-0.62	1.12	-1.75	-0.39	-8	10	-18	14.3	14.8	-0.47	14.2	14.0	0.18
PJ Dozier	40	36	-0.92	1.42	-2.34	-0.54	-13	15	-28	12.3	15.7	-3.38	13.4	14.3	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.23,0.12,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.47,0.51,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.78,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 118, PHX 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.21,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.83,1	88.4%
PHX 113, CHH 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.28,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.66,0.47,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.98,1	88.4%
BOS 111, ATL 123	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.24,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.29,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.29,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.71,0.85,0.98,1,1	86.7%