NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	101		Excitement	8.5 [221]		MVP	Paul George (LAC): +29.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	4.3 [417]		LVP	Landry Shamet (LAC): -25.7%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.17,0.29	0.14	0.18	0.03	17	79%	0.46	5	-0.16	4	50%	-0.05
Kawhi Leonard	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.02	-0.03	16	62%	0.20	3	-0.06	13	85%	0.05
Patrick Beverley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	7	63%	0.15	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Amir Coffey	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ivica Zubac	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	10	42%	-0.05	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	8	12%	-0.14	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.08	-0.00	8	76%	0.24	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.07	0.01	19	62%	0.26	4	-0.11	17	94%	0.07
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	10	55%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	-0.13	0.09	-0.02	19	40%	0.12	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	8	32%	-0.07	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	38.1	3.8	33.0	0.3	30.2	2.8	41.1	149.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -20.4%

LAL +8.8%

LAL +31.8%

LAL +22.2%

LAL +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	13.7	14.2	98.1	99.0	109.6
season	13.8	14.2		113.2	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.4		106.2	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.6	13.4	14.0	17.3	14.1
LAL	12.3	12.8	14.8	15.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	70	71	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.44	16	-18	34	14.5	13.3	1.23	14.0	13.1	0.84
Marcus Morris Sr.	39	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.30	10	-12	22	13.8	14.3	-0.51	14.7	13.1	1.68
Reggie Jackson	73	73	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.33	9	-11	20	13.7	15.1	-1.41	14.2	12.5	1.77
Amir Coffey	9	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	0	-2	13.7	14.2	-0.51	14.9	13.5	1.36
Patrick Patterson	46	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-2	2	14.6	13.8	0.85	13.5	13.9	-0.43
JaMychal Green	62	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-4	6	14.0	14.4	-0.42	13.9	13.4	0.47
Ivica Zubac	31	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.10	-5	3	-8	14.7	13.9	0.82	13.5	13.8	-0.30
Joakim Noah	27	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	10	-22	13.2	14.5	-1.29	11.7	14.3	-2.60
Patrick Beverley	35	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	7	-16	14.5	13.9	0.62	13.2	13.9	-0.74
Paul George	75	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-2	2	13.9	14.9	-1.04	13.7	13.8	-0.13
Landry Shamet	48	48	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.04	-19	17	-36	14.6	13.7	0.88	12.9	14.3	-1.40

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Kuzma	67	68	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.38	12	-10	22	13.5	14.0	-0.52	14.9	12.7	2.11
Dion Waiters	45	45	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.21	17	-15	32	13.8	13.6	0.19	15.0	13.5	1.53
Alex Caruso	60	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.27	9	-7	16	13.0	14.6	-1.56	14.5	13.6	0.95
Dwight Howard	27	27	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	-3	8	12.6	14.1	-1.49	15.6	13.6	2.02
LeBron James	73	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.48	-4	6	-10	14.1	12.6	1.49	14.5	13.2	1.29
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	64	64	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	-4	10	13.4	14.2	-0.82	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Anthony Davis	77	76	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	5	-8	14.1	12.6	1.49	13.6	15.6	-2.02
Markieff Morris	7	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	3	-4	14.9	13.6	1.25	13.7	14.2	-0.50
JR Smith	19	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.10	-7	9	-16	12.4	14.0	-1.62	13.2	14.3	-1.11
JaVale McGee	26	26	-0.20	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	9	-16	14.6	13.4	1.18	12.2	14.8	-2.55
Danny Green	55	54	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.27	-17	19	-36	14.2	13.1	1.12	13.3	15.0	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.9,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%
DET 89, LAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.98,1	92.5%
SAS 89, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	92.2%