NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	106		Excitement	9.7 [105]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): +34.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	104		Comeback	7.3 [150]		LVP	Lonzo Ball (NOP): -41.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.35	0.06	0.29	0.00	14	57%	0.39	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.07
Rudy Gobert	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.11,0.15	0.01	0.12	-0.01	9	61%	0.34	3	-0.20	5	80%	0.08
Jordan Clarkson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	17	56%	0.14	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Tony Bradley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	68%	0.13	5	-0.13	5	80%	-0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	11	55%	0.04	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,-0.15	0.04	-0.19	0.00	16	56%	-0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.06	0.19	-0.01	15	62%	0.35	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Zion Williamson	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	8	76%	0.13	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nicolo Melli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	18	56%	0.10	6	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.04,-0.16,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.13	0.00	20	48%	-0.08	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.09
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.41,-0.41	-0.41	-0.21	-0.20	-0.01	13	14%	-0.33	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.5	28.3	17.3	28.6	3.5	35.2	145.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.9%

UTA +44.6%

UTA +2.3%

NOP -14.5%

UTA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOP	NBA	UTA	NOP	NBA
this game	14.2	14.0	14.2	102.9	103.0	109.6
season	14.9	13.4		112.1	109.9
opponent	14.2	14.2		111.4	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.9	15.0	13.3	14.9	14.2
NOP	13.3	13.8	13.4	15.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	71	69	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.39	12	-10	22	15.0	12.5	2.51	14.0	13.9	0.09
Rudy Gobert	76	75	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.48	8	-6	14	13.1	17.4	-4.25	13.8	14.7	-0.93
Donovan Mitchell	78	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.39	7	-5	12	13.6	16.3	-2.70	14.0	13.9	0.16
Royce O'Neale	76	75	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	-4	10	13.6	16.1	-2.50	14.0	14.1	-0.16
Joe Ingles	67	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-9	20	15.0	12.8	2.15	13.7	14.6	-0.84
Georges Niang	27	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	6	-10	16.1	13.6	2.50	14.1	14.0	0.16
Emmanuel Mudiay	25	25	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.13	-9	11	-20	11.6	15.1	-3.53	13.2	14.3	-1.06
Jordan Clarkson	68	65	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.26	-15	17	-32	14.4	13.9	0.53	14.5	13.1	1.47
Tony Bradley	27	26	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.04	-6	8	-14	17.4	13.1	4.25	14.7	13.8	0.93

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolo Melli	30	29	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.01	8	-10	18	14.0	14.0	0.05	13.9	14.4	-0.47
Jaxson Hayes	40	41	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.01	7	-9	16	13.9	14.0	-0.12	15.4	13.5	1.92
Frank Jackson	8	9	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-4	6	11.2	14.2	-2.99	11.2	14.5	-3.30
JJ Redick	55	55	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.14	8	-10	18	14.0	14.0	0.04	14.2	14.3	-0.07
E'Twaun Moore	30	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-5	8	13.4	14.3	-0.90	12.1	15.2	-3.15
Zion Williamson	29	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	14	-30	15.3	13.5	1.89	17.9	12.7	5.17
Brandon Ingram	72	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-1	0	13.8	14.5	-0.73	13.6	15.9	-2.31
Lonzo Ball	57	59	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.48	-8	6	-14	14.1	13.9	0.20	14.9	13.3	1.56
Derrick Favors	61	62	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.45	-9	7	-16	14.0	13.9	0.12	13.5	15.4	-1.92
Jrue Holiday	78	79	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.42	-13	11	-24	14.2	13.5	0.68	14.1	14.6	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.66,0.77,0.88,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.47,0.29,0.43,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, MIN 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.74,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0	91.6%
DET 107, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.67,0.39,0.11,0.32,0.59,0	90.3%
IND 116, CHH 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.46,0.41,0.27,0	90.0%