NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	107		Excitement	8.1 [259]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +63.1%
Washington Wizards	105		Comeback	14.9 [35]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -18.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.63	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.41,0.27,0.27,0.63	0.20	0.46	0.03	16	89%	0.83	4	-0.20	4	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,-0.06,0.13	0.04	0.09	0.01	17	57%	0.29	1	-0.16	6	67%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	9	61%	0.11	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Ronald Dupree	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	15	45%	-0.09	5	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	-0.01	-0.00	19	77%	0.24	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Larry Hughes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.27,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	20	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.11	0.11	-0.06	0.15	-0.02	19	42%	0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	11	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.03	0.01	6	60%	0.06	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	2	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	30.8	15.0	28.1	2.5	28.3	133.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +61.1%

WAS -1.6%

DET +16.2%

WAS -29.7%

DET +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	WAS	NBA	DET	WAS	NBA
this game	17.8	13.9	15.5	118.9	114.1	104.0
season	16.7	14.7		103.5	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.9		105.5	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.2	17.7	17.0	18.2	17.8
WAS	13.9	13.6	13.0	15.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	67	70	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.47	9	-7	16	17.6	18.3	-0.74	13.5	15.3	-1.76
Chauncey Billups	75	75	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.46	9	-7	16	18.2	15.7	2.43	14.1	13.4	0.71
Tayshaun Prince	69	69	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.46	7	-5	12	17.3	19.4	-2.12	14.0	13.7	0.38
Richard Hamilton	75	79	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.40	7	-5	12	18.0	16.5	1.55	13.8	14.5	-0.61
Rasheed Wallace	63	62	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	0	2	18.3	16.4	1.87	14.1	13.7	0.40
Antonio McDyess	50	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.33	-7	9	-16	17.3	18.3	-1.02	14.3	13.4	0.95
Ronald Dupree	16	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	5	-8	18.9	17.5	1.36	12.8	14.2	-1.44
Smush Parker	8	8	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	9	-16	12.9	18.2	-5.36	13.9	13.9	-0.07
Lindsey Hunter	27	27	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.05	-7	9	-16	18.0	17.7	0.30	14.4	13.8	0.62

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarvis Hayes	58	58	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.24	17	-19	36	12.6	16.3	-3.70	17.8	17.7	0.15
Michael Ruffin	55	53	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.08	6	-8	14	14.1	13.7	0.34	18.1	17.3	0.82
Gilbert Arenas	82	81	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-2	2	13.4	18.3	-4.90	17.9	16.1	1.83
Steve Blake	16	14	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	0	-2	16.2	13.5	2.73	16.9	17.9	-1.06
Larry Hughes	87	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.46	-2	0	-2	14.1	10.2	3.95	17.9	15.0	2.88
Jared Jeffries	40	40	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.32	-8	6	-14	14.8	13.3	1.53	17.4	18.1	-0.69
Antawn Jamison	64	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	8	-18	14.0	13.8	0.21	17.5	18.4	-0.88
Brendan Haywood	58	55	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.53	-11	9	-20	14.3	13.3	1.02	17.7	17.8	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.67,0.39,0.11,0.32,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 114, MIL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.9,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.76,0.73,0.54,0.37,0.33,0.42,0	90.9%
TOR 96, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.91,0.82,0.85,0.61,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.58,0	89.9%
POR 98, OKC 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.53,0.28,0.24,0.17,0	89.8%