NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	114		Excitement	8.0 [269]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (ATL): +18.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	110		Comeback	22.4 [39]		LVP	Matthew Dellavedova (MIL): -31.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.19	-0.03	0.21	-0.01	17	46%	0.27	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.05,0,0.16,0.17	0.13	0.05	0.00	19	77%	0.38	7	-0.21	5	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.05	0.01	15	61%	0.17	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Mike Muscala	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	6	92%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	4	71%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Taurean Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	27%	-0.05	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24,-0.23	-0.04	-0.17	0.03	9	40%	-0.07	1	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.04	-0.00	7	93%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jabari Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.01	24	52%	0.21	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	90%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	10	60%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	0.02	12	50%	-0.07	6	-0.14	4	75%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.32	-0.32	-0.07	-0.24	0.00	12	41%	-0.22	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	25.5	15.4	28.5	2.4	40.6	137.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +52.8%

ATL +15.6%

ATL +2.8%

MIL -22.2%

ATL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	13.8	13.9	14.8	109.6	105.8	107.7
season	14.4	14.9		104.2	107.4
opponent	15.3	14.9		107.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.5	13.1	15.2	12.3	13.8
MIL	13.2	13.1	14.8	14.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	85	85	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.33	12	-8	20	14.0	12.7	1.30	14.2	12.7	1.47
Paul Millsap	81	82	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.35	11	-7	18	14.0	12.8	1.24	14.2	13.0	1.25
Dwight Howard	62	62	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.48	5	-1	6	14.2	13.1	1.10	13.9	14.0	-0.18
Tim Hardaway Jr.	67	69	0.52	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-5	14	13.6	13.9	-0.30	14.1	13.6	0.56
Kyle Korver	73	74	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.50	0	4	-4	13.1	15.3	-2.19	13.9	14.1	-0.17
Thabo Sefolosha	64	61	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	7	-10	14.3	12.9	1.42	13.8	14.2	-0.42
Taurean Prince	4	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	9	-14	15.7	13.7	2.08	13.5	14.0	-0.46
Mike Muscala	44	43	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.12	-2	6	-8	13.6	13.9	-0.28	13.6	14.2	-0.65
Malcolm Delaney	40	40	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	11	-18	12.5	14.5	-2.07	13.4	14.3	-0.84

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	46	46	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.04	8	-12	20	14.0	13.9	0.06	12.5	14.7	-2.20
Michael Beasley	50	50	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.10	2	-6	8	14.2	13.7	0.50	13.2	14.3	-1.10
Greg Monroe	50	51	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-8	12	13.9	14.0	-0.12	12.8	14.6	-1.82
Malcolm Brogdon	66	64	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.22	7	-11	18	13.8	14.1	-0.26	12.6	15.5	-2.88
Giannis Antetokounmpo	52	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-3	2	13.5	14.4	-0.88	14.2	13.3	0.82
John Henson	54	53	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	4	-12	14.0	13.9	0.12	14.6	12.8	1.82
Jabari Parker	83	83	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.39	-8	4	-12	13.9	14.3	-0.43	14.1	12.2	1.95
Tony Snell	64	64	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.42	-11	7	-18	14.2	13.5	0.68	14.5	12.5	1.99
Matthew Dellavedova	55	56	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.43	-13	9	-22	14.0	13.8	0.20	14.7	12.6	2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.9,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.76,0.73,0.54,0.37,0.33,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.42,0	92.1%
DEN 103, CHH 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.55,0.33,0.27,0	91.7%
CHI 98, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.54,0.57,0.42,0	91.6%