NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	98		Excitement	6.5 [571]		MVP	Kris Dunn (CHI): +29.6%
San Antonio Spurs	93		Comeback	25.2 [14]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAS): -26.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Dunn	0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.3	0.09	0.23	0.03	19	60%	0.31	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.10	0.01	18	61%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	6	86%	0.18	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	57%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Chandler Hutchison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.05	0.01	12	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Cameron Payne	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	12	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.03	0.00	8	106%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.18	-0.02	0.03	16	67%	0.13	0	0.00	11	82%	-0.09
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	3	71%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	60%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.10	-0.01	8	60%	-0.06	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	37%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	4	0%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.36,-0.26	-0.27	-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	23	40%	-0.18	4	-0.09	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	29.5	14.7	26.5	2.4	36.4	134.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +60.5%

SAS -3.5%

SAS -5.4%

CHI +0.8%

SAS -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAS	NBA	CHI	SAS	NBA
this game	15.7	15.5	14.3	105.4	101.1	109.3
season	14.6	14.8		104.2	111.7
opponent	14.4	14.3		110.4	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.0	16.0	12.9	18.0	15.7
SAS	14.7	14.0	17.1	16.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Arcidiacono	74	74	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.29	22	-17	39	15.0	18.1	-3.01	16.3	12.1	4.26
Justin Holiday	80	80	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.23	20	-15	35	15.3	17.7	-2.37	15.9	12.4	3.52
Lauri Markkanen	71	70	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-7	19	15.3	16.7	-1.34	15.8	14.3	1.52
Kris Dunn	68	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	2	1	16.2	14.3	1.88	15.6	15.2	0.37
Wendell Carter Jr.	38	39	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	0	5	16.1	15.3	0.76	16.0	15.1	0.95
Bobby Portis	38	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.41	-11	16	-27	15.7	15.7	0.00	14.5	16.1	-1.66
Robin Lopez	39	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.21	4	1	3	15.8	15.6	0.24	15.2	15.7	-0.46
Chandler Hutchison	8	8	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.15	-13	18	-31	16.6	15.6	1.06	12.4	15.8	-3.40
Cameron Payne	28	25	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.16	-3	8	-11	16.4	15.4	1.00	14.0	16.0	-2.08
Shaquille Harrison	21	21	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.10	-14	19	-33	16.1	15.5	0.63	13.5	16.1	-2.59

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	30	31	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.14	4	-9	13	14.7	15.9	-1.20	15.2	15.9	-0.69
Davis Bertans	38	37	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.10	10	-15	25	16.6	14.7	1.92	15.3	15.9	-0.55
Derrick White	35	35	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.03	5	-10	15	14.7	15.9	-1.19	16.7	15.1	1.61
Dante Cunningham	15	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.13	-8	3	-11	16.5	15.3	1.18	14.7	15.8	-1.10
Bryn Forbes	47	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.23	-18	13	-31	15.6	15.4	0.15	15.2	16.1	-0.85
Marco Belinelli	54	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.54	4	-9	13	15.9	14.8	1.08	15.9	15.3	0.58
Patty Mills	48	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-4	3	15.4	15.5	-0.09	15.1	16.3	-1.21
Rudy Gay	51	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.62	5	-10	15	15.0	16.1	-1.07	15.3	16.1	-0.83
DeMar DeRozan	72	73	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.19	-17	12	-29	15.3	16.2	-0.99	16.0	14.5	1.47
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	71	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.43	-9	4	-13	15.6	15.2	0.39	16.2	14.0	2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.54,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, OKC 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.86,0.86,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.69,0.58,0	92.7%
DAL 99, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.42,0	91.7%
ATL 114, MIL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.9,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.76,0.73,0.54,0.37,0.33,0.42,0	91.6%