NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	108		Excitement	4.0 [923]		MVP	Shaquille Harrison (CHI): +16.1%
Chicago Bulls	102		Comeback	1.6 [695]		LVP	Tomas Satoransky (CHI): -12.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaKarr Sampson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	6	78%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.02	-0.06	11	55%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	10	62%	0.08	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
T.J. McConnell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	14	71%	0.10	7	-0.12	6	50%	-0.04
Aaron Holiday	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Brian Bowen II	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.22	0.00	0.06	14	83%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cristiano Felicio	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.02	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.12	21	58%	-0.01	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	17	38%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	10	14%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	8	33%	-0.05	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	25.3	14.5	25.9	1.5	34.3	129.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +51.9%

IND +3.3%

IND +4.0%

CHI -11.0%

IND +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	13.8	14.2	104.9	101.0	109.6
season	14.4	14.1		108.7	105.3
opponent	14.4	14.4		108.2	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.3	11.5	16.1	15.6	14.5
CHI	12.9	13.8	13.2	15.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	56	54	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	-3	12	14.4	14.6	-0.18	14.3	13.2	1.09
Aaron Holiday	71	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	4	-2	14.8	13.7	1.05	13.6	14.1	-0.54
Edmond Sumner	54	54	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	-1	8	13.3	15.7	-2.40	13.4	14.1	-0.66
Myles Turner	74	72	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	6	-6	14.8	13.7	1.09	13.7	13.8	-0.11
Domantas Sabonis	77	74	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	7	-8	14.9	13.2	1.67	14.3	12.4	1.89
JaKarr Sampson	39	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	-1	8	13.4	15.1	-1.76	13.6	13.9	-0.27
T.J. McConnell	43	42	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	3	0	14.2	14.7	-0.46	13.4	14.0	-0.60
Goga Bitadze	16	17	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	0	6	13.7	14.6	-0.93	12.1	14.1	-2.04
Justin Holiday	54	54	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.32	-6	12	-18	14.1	14.9	-0.81	14.1	13.3	0.81
Brian Bowen II	31	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	3	0	16.9	13.4	3.47	13.6	13.8	-0.25

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gafford	42	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.22	7	-13	20	13.1	14.2	-1.04	15.7	13.7	2.00
Lauri Markkanen	46	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-2	-2	13.8	13.7	0.10	16.1	13.0	3.09
Cristiano Felicio	6	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.01	-5	-1	-4	12.2	13.9	-1.69	11.5	14.7	-3.16
Otto Porter Jr.	41	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-2	-2	13.4	14.0	-0.53	14.1	14.7	-0.59
Shaquille Harrison	69	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.35	5	-11	16	13.9	13.4	0.51	15.0	13.2	1.80
Tomas Satoransky	56	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	3	-12	13.0	14.6	-1.61	15.3	13.5	1.80
Wendell Carter Jr.	53	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	2	-10	14.4	13.0	1.39	13.9	15.2	-1.22
Thaddeus Young	55	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-4	2	13.7	13.8	-0.10	13.0	16.1	-3.09
Denzel Valentine	56	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	0	-6	13.8	13.7	0.03	14.6	14.3	0.33
Coby White	81	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-2	-2	14.3	11.7	2.56	13.5	17.9	-4.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 119, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
SEA 94, ATL 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
IND 111, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%