NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	113		Excitement	7.0 [441]		MVP	Joe Harris (BKN): +22.6%
Miami Heat	116		Comeback	1.6 [892]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (MIA): -11.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.23	0.12	0.09	-0.02	15	62%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Allen	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	8	85%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	8	69%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodions Kurucs	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.01	0.09	-0.07	0.01	15	62%	0.22	3	-0.21	10	90%	0.03
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	17	42%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07	0.04	-0.10	0.01	8	56%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.13	-0.01	16	53%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Kendrick Nunn	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.02	0.02	14	75%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	12	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	7	62%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	10	57%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	4	70%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	14	43%	-0.07	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	26.8	15.7	27.4	2.4	38.0	138.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +7.6%

MIA +5.8%

MIA +10.9%

MIA +20.6%

MIA +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIA	NBA	BKN	MIA	NBA
this game	14.1	15.5	14.2	115.3	119.6	109.6
season	14.1	14.7		108.0	111.7
opponent	14.5	14.1		108.9	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.4	14.4	15.0	13.5	14.1
MIA	15.4	13.8	17.0	15.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Prince	38	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.46	14	-17	31	15.4	13.2	2.22	17.5	14.1	3.35
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	39	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-1	-1	13.4	14.5	-1.12	14.1	16.4	-2.27
Joe Harris	61	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.51	11	-14	25	14.1	14.0	0.10	17.0	13.1	3.89
Spencer Dinwiddie	64	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.39	6	-9	15	14.3	13.6	0.77	16.3	13.9	2.47
Garrett Temple	49	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	7	-17	12.8	15.3	-2.53	14.1	16.8	-2.67
Wilson Chandler	43	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	5	-13	13.4	14.6	-1.19	13.1	17.5	-4.42
Rodions Kurucs	29	27	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	12	-27	14.3	13.9	0.40	13.9	16.1	-2.26
Jarrett Allen	54	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	2	-7	14.6	13.3	1.31	17.2	13.6	3.60
Caris LeVert	71	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	4	-11	14.3	13.4	0.90	15.5	15.4	0.17

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	67	67	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-5	13	15.2	16.1	-0.89	13.7	14.9	-1.18
Bam Adebayo	64	65	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.33	2	1	1	15.9	14.8	1.10	14.3	13.6	0.64
Andre Iguodala	26	28	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.11	8	-5	13	13.3	16.3	-2.97	12.9	14.5	-1.59
Jae Crowder	59	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	5	-7	15.0	16.3	-1.32	13.9	14.2	-0.32
Jimmy Butler	73	72	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	6	-9	15.8	14.4	1.47	14.2	13.6	0.61
Duncan Robinson	53	58	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	-1	5	15.8	15.1	0.76	14.2	13.9	0.31
Derrick Jones Jr.	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	3	-3	15.5	15.4	0.11	14.4	13.8	0.66
Kendrick Nunn	70	69	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	6	-9	16.3	13.3	2.98	14.5	13.0	1.46
Kelly Olynyk	33	33	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	2	-1	14.8	15.9	-1.10	13.6	14.3	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.56,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.77,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 89, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.89,0.86,0.96,1	93.2%
CHI 81, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	92.9%
CHH 98, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.74,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.6%