NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	112		Excitement	10.7 [51]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +35.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	114		Comeback	6.0 [301]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (BOS): -28.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.35	0.26	0.04	-0.05	20	75%	0.49	2	-0.14	15	87%	0.07
Daniel Theis	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.09	0.02	7	94%	0.26	1	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Grant Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	2	67%	0.11	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.04
Romeo Langford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Semi Ojeleye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	11	54%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.11,0.18,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	19	50%	0.27	4	-0.32	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Wanamaker	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.21,-0.28	-0.12	-0.16	0.00	15	33%	-0.10	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.23	0.06	19	58%	0.31	2	-0.06	12	58%	-0.13
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	5	67%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	53%	0.09	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.15,0.05,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	25	52%	0.16	6	-0.16	12	75%	-0.02
Avery Bradley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.09
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	3.3	33.4	15.6	31.7	3.0	50.1	158.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -21.4%

BOS -6.8%

LAL +13.7%

LAL +54.2%

LAL +10.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	14.5	13.0	14.2	107.7	108.6	109.6
season	14.5	14.2		112.0	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.4		106.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	13.5	14.6	15.4	14.5
LAL	14.0	12.2	12.1	14.0	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Williams	31	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-5	8	14.6	14.5	0.15	12.2	13.3	-1.14
Semi Ojeleye	14	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	3	-8	13.8	14.7	-0.87	12.0	13.2	-1.17
Enes Kanter	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	4	-10	13.5	14.7	-1.14	9.5	13.5	-4.07
Romeo Langford	36	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	2	-6	14.8	14.4	0.37	11.1	14.0	-2.96
Jayson Tatum	79	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.46	6	-8	14	14.3	15.2	-0.82	13.2	12.3	0.96
Brad Wanamaker	41	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	9	-20	15.2	14.1	1.08	10.7	14.6	-3.82
Daniel Theis	63	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-6	10	14.8	14.1	0.65	14.1	11.2	2.90
Jaylen Brown	82	84	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.52	7	-9	16	14.5	14.5	0.05	13.7	10.5	3.19
Gordon Hayward	83	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-2	2	14.6	14.2	0.44	13.8	10.0	3.73
Marcus Smart	78	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	2	-6	14.2	15.5	-1.23	13.6	11.4	2.18

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Kuzma	62	61	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.29	17	-15	32	11.6	15.1	-3.54	14.7	14.3	0.44
Avery Bradley	64	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-5	12	13.3	12.7	0.61	14.1	15.3	-1.20
LeBron James	78	76	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.48	-1	3	-4	13.7	11.0	2.73	14.5	14.6	-0.05
Rajon Rondo	48	48	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-13	28	11.4	14.4	-3.01	15.7	13.5	2.17
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	65	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	0	2	11.9	14.9	-2.98	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Alex Caruso	17	17	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.29	1	1	0	12.6	13.1	-0.46	15.6	14.3	1.25
Anthony Davis	85	85	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	5	-8	13.3	11.7	1.64	14.1	16.5	-2.43
Dwight Howard	33	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	8	-14	12.8	13.1	-0.31	15.5	14.1	1.43
JaVale McGee	25	25	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	8	-14	16.1	12.1	4.06	14.4	14.6	-0.13
Danny Green	48	49	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.04	-16	18	-34	14.7	11.6	3.13	13.8	15.2	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.77,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 109, BKN 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.42,1	90.1%
CLE 98, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.38,0.48,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.57,0.58,1	89.9%
BOS 91, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.33,0.16,1	89.4%