NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	91		Excitement	9.4 [105]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +57.4%
Washington Wizards	92		Comeback	34.5 [60]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -12.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.35	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.35	0.11	0.23	-0.00	12	77%	0.39	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.32	0.13	0.17	-0.01	18	67%	0.37	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Jae Crowder	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	9	45%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.18,-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.01	24	50%	0.12	5	-0.14	6	100%	0.04
Terry Rozier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	3	12%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,0.57	0.57	-0.05	0.61	-0.02	25	45%	0.71	3	-0.13	8	75%	0.05
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.18,0.35	0.34	0.14	0.21	0.01	26	61%	0.37	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05
Markieff Morris	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	14	48%	0.08	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.4	34.5	16.7	28.2	3.4	40.7	154.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +27.1%

WAS +1.4%

WAS +15.3%

BOS -1.8%

WAS +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	14.8	97.8	100.0	107.7
season	14.7	14.4		110.1	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.9		108.7	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.9	14.0	14.4	17.7	15.2
WAS	14.5	16.0	18.4	15.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	73	76	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.01	5	-6	11	15.3	14.9	0.31	16.2	14.9	1.30
Terry Rozier	22	20	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-3	5	13.7	15.6	-1.92	16.3	15.8	0.45
Amir Johnson	28	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	4	-9	14.6	15.5	-0.89	16.4	15.7	0.64
Kelly Olynyk	38	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	5	-11	16.6	14.2	2.34	16.3	15.7	0.54
Al Horford	69	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.46	3	-4	7	15.5	14.3	1.22	16.1	15.6	0.47
Jae Crowder	77	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.49	3	-4	7	15.0	16.2	-1.20	15.1	19.2	-4.05
Avery Bradley	82	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.48	0	-1	1	15.3	14.5	0.84	15.7	18.0	-2.30
Jaylen Brown	24	22	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.54	1	-2	3	12.6	16.1	-3.46	15.4	16.1	-0.71
Marcus Smart	52	50	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.44	-8	7	-15	16.0	14.2	1.74	16.7	15.1	1.61

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	74	74	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.48	2	-1	3	16.2	14.9	1.31	15.7	13.2	2.56
Otto Porter Jr.	69	68	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.52	0	1	-1	16.0	15.8	0.22	14.9	16.0	-1.16
John Wall	79	79	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.43	2	-1	3	16.0	15.5	0.56	15.4	14.0	1.41
Bradley Beal	83	83	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	1	-1	15.8	16.9	-1.05	15.6	12.2	3.35
Marcin Gortat	49	49	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	-5	11	15.5	16.5	-1.02	15.7	14.6	1.10
Bojan Bogdanovic	32	35	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	-4	9	15.5	16.2	-0.73	15.5	15.0	0.42
Brandon Jennings	16	18	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	1	-1	15.9	16.0	-0.09	14.1	15.5	-1.41
Ian Mahinmi	29	30	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	3	-5	16.2	15.8	0.38	15.0	15.3	-0.33
Kelly Oubre Jr.	15	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	6	-11	15.7	16.0	-0.33	11.7	15.9	-4.21
Jason Smith	14	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	4	-7	17.1	15.7	1.33	13.9	15.4	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.33,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.33,0.42,1	92.0%
PHI 100, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.28,1	91.1%
ORL 114, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.37,0.33,0.28,1	90.7%