inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 120 Excitement10.8 [44] MVPAnthony Davis (LAL): +41.5%
Denver Nuggets 116 Comeback5.7 [262] LVPNikola Jokic (DEN): -22.0%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Davis0.420,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.41,0.41,0.420.130.300.012360%0.512-0.09967%0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.030.10-0.01950%0.1400.0000%0.00
Avery Bradley0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.00-0.00862%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Danny Green0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
JaVale McGee0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Rajon Rondo0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Alex Caruso-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.010.03-0.040.00762%0.061-0.06250%-0.03
LeBron James-0.020,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.14,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.050.012952%0.093-0.12425%-0.04
Kyle Kuzma-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00437%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15-0.01-0.140.00658%-0.014-0.141250%-0.15

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Harris0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.010.21-0.011250%0.261-0.032100%0.03
Jamal Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.160.160.110.070.012559%0.222-0.06475%0.03
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.03-0.00562%0.0800.00683%-0.00
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.02-0.00867%0.0600.00250%-0.02
Jordan McRae0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Noah Vonleh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.020.001100%0.051-0.05250%-0.02
Jerami Grant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.04-0.001258%0.122-0.132100%0.01
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.02462%0.011-0.0300%0.00
PJ Dozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22-0.220.03-0.240.011858%-0.073-0.152100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.72.830.34.829.63.335.62.413.3147.7
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.42.315.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +32.3%
DEN -13.9%
LAL +33.8%
LAL +2.6%
DEN -4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game13.716.214.2111.1110.5109.6
season14.215.0111.8112.0
opponent14.514.4110.7106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
LAL13.313.713.514.314.113.7
DEN15.017.014.717.617.716.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alex Caruso43431.21-0.711.920.5323-194213.413.9-0.5317.715.22.49
LeBron James88850.69-0.190.880.5740413.514.6-1.1516.016.9-0.95
Anthony Davis87840.460.040.430.325-1613.614.0-0.4216.116.7-0.61
Dwight Howard60570.270.230.040.067-31014.113.20.9817.015.21.83
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope55550.230.27-0.040.056-2814.113.30.7716.815.51.38
JaVale McGee27280.060.44-0.380.0604-412.214.2-1.9915.616.4-0.83
Avery Bradley6664-0.040.54-0.590.13-610-1613.514.0-0.5115.117.9-2.86
Rajon Rondo2827-0.180.68-0.85-0.03-59-1414.913.31.5915.616.4-0.79
Kyle Kuzma3230-0.210.71-0.930.11-1115-2614.913.21.7415.916.3-0.44
Danny Green4443-0.490.99-1.47-0.28-711-1813.014.2-1.1615.716.5-0.82

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Millsap39390.23-0.730.96-0.018-122016.615.90.6914.713.11.57
Jordan McRae15150.16-0.660.83-0.016-101616.916.10.8815.213.51.73
PJ Dozier33320.00-0.500.50-0.031-5617.515.61.9513.313.9-0.61
Noah Vonleh2424-0.14-0.360.22-0.140-4417.315.81.4913.813.70.10
Monte Morris4849-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.371-5616.715.80.9313.813.60.23
Jerami Grant7779-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.23-62-816.016.7-0.7813.315.0-1.71
Jamal Murray8992-0.530.03-0.57-0.42-40-415.918.0-2.1513.515.0-1.51
Gary Harris6871-0.560.06-0.62-0.30-95-1415.717.1-1.3513.414.3-0.85
Nikola Jokic7377-0.720.22-0.93-0.42-106-1615.717.3-1.6313.913.40.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.63,0.25,0.15,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.16,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 125, POR 1240.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.43,0.16,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.22,0.15,088.4%
CHH 102, DEN 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.28,0.15,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.17,087.7%
SAC 109, SAS 1060.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.7,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.72,0.43,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.14,0.04,086.6%