NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	114		Excitement	10.4 [64]		MVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (UTA): +93.2%
Houston Rockets	113		Comeback	11.7 [119]		LVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): -12.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.93	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.93	0.00	0.92	-0.01	7	50%	0.95	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.22	0.20	-0.00	19	73%	0.42	0	0.00	3	100%	0.06
Donovan Mitchell	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.1,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,0.01,0.2	-0.00	0.22	0.01	23	50%	0.28	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.11
Mike Conley	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.01	16	57%	0.19	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Georges Niang	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Morgan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	2	75%	0.02	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.68	0.68	0.09	0.59	-0.00	5	90%	0.68	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.37	0.37	0.05	0.32	0.00	12	58%	0.40	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.04	-0.01	5	90%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.01	23	54%	0.16	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	33	56%	0.23	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	29.4	14.5	26.4	2.3	32.7	130.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +20.2%

UTA +25.1%

UTA +9.4%

HOU -10.2%

UTA +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.7	13.5	14.2	116.3	114.1	109.6
season	14.9	13.4		112.1	111.2
opponent	14.4	14.2		108.9	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.8	13.9	16.5	15.8	15.7
HOU	12.5	14.3	14.2	13.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	66	67	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.51	2	-1	3	15.9	15.4	0.43	13.4	13.8	-0.42
Mike Conley	67	69	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	-8	17	15.5	16.2	-0.64	13.6	13.5	0.08
Bojan Bogdanovic	64	64	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.65	-8	9	-17	17.2	12.9	4.35	13.7	13.3	0.37
Juwan Morgan	15	17	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	-10	21	12.9	16.2	-3.37	13.6	13.5	0.08
Donovan Mitchell	74	73	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.42	-6	7	-13	16.5	13.5	3.00	13.5	13.5	0.03
Rudy Gobert	75	74	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.42	-6	7	-13	16.4	13.6	2.76	13.6	13.4	0.22
Georges Niang	18	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	1	-1	13.8	16.2	-2.38	13.0	13.6	-0.65
Tony Bradley	8	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	5	-9	15.0	15.8	-0.79	12.9	13.6	-0.71
Royce O'Neale	41	41	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.43	2	-1	3	14.8	16.4	-1.66	13.9	13.3	0.64

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danuel House Jr.	76	73	0.45	-0.95	1.40	0.60	-5	4	-9	13.7	13.1	0.57	15.5	16.3	-0.75
P.J. Tucker	71	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.45	10	-11	21	14.0	12.4	1.58	16.5	13.6	2.99
Thabo Sefolosha	23	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	6	-13	12.6	13.8	-1.19	13.9	16.3	-2.40
James Harden	77	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.47	8	-9	17	13.9	12.3	1.61	16.5	13.0	3.47
Austin Rivers	43	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	6	-13	12.9	14.0	-1.18	13.9	17.1	-3.27
Robert Covington	68	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-5	9	13.7	13.1	0.58	16.8	13.1	3.66
Ben McLemore	57	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	7	-15	13.8	13.1	0.66	15.1	16.6	-1.44
Russell Westbrook	86	85	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.53	-1	0	-1	13.3	14.9	-1.61	15.5	17.1	-1.56
Tyson Chandler	1	0	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.83	-3	2	-5	0.0	13.7	-13.66	0.0	15.7	-15.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.59,0.47,0.54,0.24,0.07,0.22,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 109, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.83,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.46,0.39,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	91.8%
CHI 87, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.51,0.46,0.26,0.16,0.06,0.42,0	91.4%
WAS 77, NOH 70	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.08,0	91.3%