NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	118		Excitement	7.3 [392]		MVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): +22.5%
Toronto Raptors	119		Comeback	1.6 [856]		LVP	Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot (BKN): -11.0%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.2	0.32	-0.08	0.04	18	86%	0.22	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	10	62%	0.07	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.08	-0.08	0.04	17	55%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Joe Harris	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.09	0.06	-0.13	0.02	9	61%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	8	19%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.09	-0.00	20	67%	0.28	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Matt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.03	-0.01	9	83%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Davis	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	15	65%	0.15	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	22	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.7	23.2	14.0	27.3	2.5	29.4	123.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +61.1%

BKN -8.9%

BKN -11.5%

TOR +4.2%

TOR +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	TOR	NBA	BKN	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	15.0	14.2	121.6	121.4	109.6
season	14.1	14.0		108.0	109.9
opponent	14.5	14.1		104.2	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.2	17.0	13.8	14.6	14.6
TOR	15.1	13.8	13.9	17.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	46	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.24	6	-7	13	14.7	14.5	0.16	14.0	15.9	-1.94
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	32	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	1	-3	14.1	14.8	-0.66	13.5	15.7	-2.19
Taurean Prince	56	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	3	-7	15.1	13.8	1.28	15.5	14.3	1.19
Jarrett Allen	41	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	7	-15	14.3	14.8	-0.52	14.7	15.2	-0.53
DeAndre Jordan	56	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.47	7	-8	15	14.8	14.3	0.52	15.2	14.7	0.53
Caris LeVert	70	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	0	-1	13.2	18.1	-4.86	15.1	14.7	0.42
Wilson Chandler	47	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	0	-1	15.0	14.1	0.88	14.6	15.3	-0.76
Joe Harris	65	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-2	3	14.8	14.1	0.66	15.7	13.5	2.19
Spencer Dinwiddie	72	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	2	-5	15.1	13.0	2.11	15.4	13.8	1.53

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred VanVleet	65	66	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.41	-1	2	-3	15.6	13.7	1.87	14.7	14.3	0.45
Serge Ibaka	63	64	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.43	-4	5	-9	15.6	13.9	1.64	14.3	15.0	-0.70
OG Anunoby	60	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.45	-5	6	-11	15.6	14.0	1.63	13.6	16.1	-2.48
Oshae Brissett	16	17	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	-9	19	13.6	15.2	-1.61	17.2	14.0	3.16
Patrick McCaw	40	39	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	-5	11	13.5	16.0	-2.53	15.5	13.9	1.54
Pascal Siakam	70	68	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.47	-8	9	-17	15.6	13.4	2.16	13.4	17.2	-3.81
Matt Thomas	45	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	-3	7	13.9	15.9	-1.96	15.8	13.6	2.21
Terence Davis	63	62	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.43	-8	9	-17	15.6	13.9	1.69	13.7	16.2	-2.51
Chris Boucher	35	33	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	-4	9	13.9	15.6	-1.64	15.0	14.3	0.70
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	33	34	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	-5	11	14.0	15.4	-1.42	16.0	13.8	2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.79,0.91,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
NJN 85, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	93.8%
MIN 95, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.91,1	93.8%