NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	5.6 [557]		MVP	Jon Leuer (MIL): +20.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	98		Comeback	1.5 [743]		LVP	Derrick Williams (MIN): -11.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.04	10	77%	0.06	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Tolliver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	13	47%	0.01	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.06
Jose Juan Barea	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Darko Milicic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	0.01	-0.06	0.03	18	52%	-0.03	3	-0.06	24	79%	0.01
Derrick Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.10	0.00	7	78%	0.23	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.02	14	63%	0.14	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.04
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.05	20	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	20	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	26%	-0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.1	1.8	25.3	15.4	21.4	2.5	37.6	136.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +35.4%

MIN -1.1%

MIN -14.5%

MIL +30.0%

MIL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MIL	NBA	MIN	MIL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.1	15.6	96.9	99.0	102.8
season	15.3	14.6		102.6	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.1		103.4	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.5	14.9	13.2	15.0	14.1
MIL	14.2	15.1	15.6	15.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	41	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-4	5	13.0	14.9	-1.94	14.8	15.4	-0.64
Darko Milicic	47	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	1	-5	14.0	14.2	-0.24	17.1	13.4	3.73
Anthony Tolliver	43	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.40	9	-12	21	13.8	14.3	-0.55	14.8	15.4	-0.52
Derrick Williams	40	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	0	-3	14.0	14.2	-0.21	13.2	16.5	-3.22
Ricky Rubio	56	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-2	1	14.7	13.3	1.35	15.0	15.3	-0.30
Wesley Johnson	65	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	5	-13	13.7	14.8	-1.13	14.9	15.6	-0.74
Michael Beasley	49	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-1	-1	14.7	13.5	1.14	16.1	14.1	2.04
Kevin Love	82	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.42	-1	-2	1	14.3	13.3	0.94	14.9	16.2	-1.26
Luke Ridnour	67	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.30	-6	3	-9	14.4	13.4	1.05	15.2	15.0	0.14

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	72	72	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.26	10	-7	17	15.2	14.9	0.38	14.2	13.9	0.30
Brandon Jennings	75	73	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	-2	7	14.9	15.9	-1.04	13.9	14.7	-0.83
Ersan Ilyasova	49	51	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	-3	9	15.2	15.1	0.14	14.8	13.3	1.55
Shaun Livingston	49	49	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.28	-2	5	-7	14.5	15.8	-1.31	15.4	12.8	2.57
Jon Leuer	44	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	4	-5	13.8	16.2	-2.40	14.1	14.1	-0.05
Larry Sanders	34	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	0	3	14.9	15.2	-0.29	13.0	14.7	-1.66
Mike Dunleavy	67	66	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	6	-9	15.5	14.4	1.07	13.4	15.6	-2.17
Jon Brockman	12	12	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	-1	5	14.2	15.3	-1.10	12.7	14.3	-1.64
Andrew Bogut	60	60	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	9	-15	17.0	12.3	4.70	14.1	14.0	0.12
Beno Udrih	33	33	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	4	-5	14.6	15.4	-0.79	14.3	14.0	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 86, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.99,1,1,1	95.9%
DET 98, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DAL 94, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%