inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 127 Excitement6.6 [517] MVPWill Barton (DEN): +21.1%
Milwaukee Bucks 115 Comeback4.0 [60] LVPKyle Korver (MIL): -8.1%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0.210,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.130.08-0.001675%0.283-0.0700%0.00
Malik Beasley0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.050.011264%0.131-0.021100%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.02-0.01967%0.1000.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig0.100,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.030.02779%0.1000.0000%0.00
Monte Morris0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.010.02967%0.0900.003100%0.01
PJ Dozier0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.03-0.01767%0.112-0.041100%0.01
Michael Porter Jr.0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.000.021158%0.041-0.024100%0.02
Nikola Jokic0.000,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0-0.060.03-0.041744%0.053-0.0500%0.00
Jerami Grant-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.021242%0.012-0.0500%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.160.010.041183%0.203-0.07786%0.01
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.040.01757%0.0600.0000%0.00
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.01357%0.0300.0010%-0.01
Wesley Matthews0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.01-0.01856%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.01275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Eric Bledsoe0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.011156%0.124-0.12540%-0.03
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.02-0.022747%0.022-0.021267%-0.04
Sterling Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01831%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Brook Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.021136%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00343%-0.022-0.071100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.523.314.530.32.526.7128.1
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +46.3%
DEN +0.1%
MIL -4.6%
DEN +8.3%
MIL -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMILNBADENMILNBA
this game14.911.514.2117.6103.6109.6
season15.013.2112.0111.0
opponent14.114.5102.6110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.213.613.018.214.9
MIL10.512.111.911.311.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Beasley61640.74-0.240.980.0125-133814.115.9-1.7611.511.40.08
Jerami Grant77760.57-0.070.64-0.0421-93014.416.2-1.7711.411.5-0.09
Michael Porter Jr.59620.400.100.300.081111013.816.2-2.4711.211.8-0.58
PJ Dozier42430.240.26-0.030.0666013.715.7-1.9411.911.20.71
Will Barton75780.230.27-0.040.20111-1015.314.11.1611.212.1-0.87
Monte Morris65670.180.32-0.130.1039-615.713.62.1111.311.6-0.31
Torrey Craig4748-0.030.53-0.560.15-618-2415.914.11.8012.011.01.04
Nikola Jokic7173-0.110.61-0.710.16-921-3016.312.24.0811.311.8-0.48

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ersan Ilyasova18190.07-0.570.63-0.085-172210.411.7-1.2714.115.1-0.96
Thanasis Antetokounmpo13130.06-0.560.62-0.116-18249.111.8-2.6915.814.80.99
Sterling Brown47470.03-0.530.56-0.156-182411.111.7-0.6314.115.5-1.40
Robin Lopez1918-0.13-0.370.230.04-6-6014.110.93.1412.615.4-2.81
Giannis Antetokounmpo7473-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.05-7-5-211.012.3-1.2714.815.1-0.36
Wesley Matthews7369-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.13-5-7211.511.40.0415.913.12.85
Brook Lopez5652-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.08-7-5-211.711.20.4615.014.80.20
Kyle Korver4041-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.02-11-1-1011.511.40.1614.415.2-0.86
Khris Middleton8381-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.16-9-3-611.112.5-1.4515.313.61.74
Eric Bledsoe7269-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.09-120-1211.611.20.4615.214.30.88
Pat Connaughton6058-0.510.01-0.520.08-208-2812.310.51.8114.615.3-0.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 105, SAC 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,093.5%
GSW 104, ORL 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,093.2%
DAL 95, PHI 930.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,093.1%