NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	105		Excitement	6.0 [621]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +17.0%
Sacramento Kings	98		Comeback	3.7 [421]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -24.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.10	-0.02	13	58%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	15	58%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.02	10	67%	0.14	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	8	78%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	8	71%	0.17	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	15	53%	0.08	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	14	67%	0.18	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.03	13	74%	0.16	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	52%	0.09	1	-0.03	7	86%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	55%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	8	55%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Quincy Douby	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24	-0.24	-0.20	-0.07	-0.03	22	30%	-0.12	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	28.4	15.4	23.5	1.8	33.3	127.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +54.1%

PHX +0.5%

SAC -5.0%

SAC -0.9%

PHX +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.4	108.2	101.0	104.5
season	13.8	14.7		112.2	104.7
opponent	15.1	16.0		106.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.2	15.1	14.3	16.1	14.9
SAC	14.6	16.2	12.8	15.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	86	86	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	4	-1	14.7	16.3	-1.58	14.7	15.4	-0.62
Steve Nash	78	77	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	1	5	15.4	12.7	2.66	14.1	17.7	-3.64
Boris Diaw	67	69	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	-1	9	13.8	17.3	-3.56	14.5	15.5	-1.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	68	70	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	3	1	15.0	14.5	0.51	14.3	16.2	-1.90
Kurt Thomas	54	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	4	-1	15.8	13.7	2.08	15.7	13.8	1.81
Leandro Barbosa	49	47	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.13	6	1	5	14.7	15.0	-0.29	15.7	14.0	1.64
Shawn Marion	62	63	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	6	-5	15.5	13.7	1.77	14.5	15.4	-0.92
James Jones	21	21	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	3	1	12.8	15.5	-2.70	17.6	14.1	3.52

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Douby	0	1	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-9	11	0.0	14.8	-14.81	0.0	15.0	-15.03
Ronnie Price	14	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-3	-1	19.5	14.0	5.48	13.7	15.1	-1.35
Brad Miller	29	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-3	-1	13.3	15.5	-2.19	14.4	15.1	-0.71
Kevin Martin	58	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-2	-3	14.8	14.9	-0.14	13.8	16.4	-2.61
Francisco Garcia	36	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-2	-3	15.8	14.2	1.62	15.0	14.8	0.25
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	48	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.15	-3	-4	1	16.0	13.7	2.31	15.7	14.1	1.56
Metta World Peace	69	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.26	-2	-5	3	13.9	17.0	-3.12	15.1	14.3	0.86
Kenny Thomas	58	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-2	-3	15.7	13.5	2.26	15.6	13.8	1.75
Mike Bibby	83	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-6	5	14.0	19.5	-5.48	14.9	14.7	0.19
John Salmons	90	89	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	1	-9	14.4	19.9	-5.43	14.9	14.5	0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, IND 76	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
MIL 87, MIN 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.0%
NYK 94, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	93.7%