NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	125		Excitement	4.9 [796]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +22.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Comeback	1.2 [1037]		LVP	Lonzo Ball (NOP): -11.1%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.21	0.06	0.04	16	74%	0.24	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Brandon Ingram	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.17	0.01	-0.02	13	86%	0.25	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	62%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Zion Williamson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	13	52%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nicolo Melli	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	92%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.08	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Frank Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Derrick Favors	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	69%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	10	25%	-0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	16	66%	0.14	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.05	10	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	20	55%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Mooney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	5	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	41%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	15	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	31.3	0.2	30.1	2.3	23.6	114.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +44.9%

NOP +4.9%

CLE -2.5%

NOP +1.0%

NOP +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CLE	NBA	NOP	CLE	NBA
this game	12.9	15.0	14.2	121.4	107.8	109.6
season	13.4	15.1		109.9	106.3
opponent	13.8	14.2		114.2	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.3	11.6	10.7	16.7	12.9
CLE	16.2	13.6	15.9	14.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	70	68	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.03	19	-5	24	12.8	13.2	-0.41	16.2	12.7	3.51
Derrick Favors	47	47	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.26	24	-10	34	12.7	13.1	-0.42	16.7	13.6	3.04
Brandon Ingram	69	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	2	10	12.1	14.6	-2.43	15.3	14.5	0.74
Lonzo Ball	70	69	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.07	13	1	12	12.8	13.2	-0.37	15.2	14.7	0.53
JJ Redick	59	59	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	7	0	13.0	12.9	0.08	15.0	15.1	-0.11
Zion Williamson	64	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	9	-4	13.2	12.4	0.84	15.7	13.9	1.86
Nicolo Melli	34	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	8	-2	14.6	12.1	2.43	14.3	15.4	-1.14
Frank Jackson	20	21	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.03	3	11	-8	11.7	13.2	-1.53	12.6	15.6	-3.03
Josh Hart	46	48	0.04	0.47	-0.43	0.24	-7	21	-28	13.8	12.2	1.65	14.1	15.8	-1.65
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	21.0	12.9	8.15	7.0	15.2	-8.19
Jaxson Hayes	35	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.26	-12	26	-38	12.4	13.2	-0.85	12.3	16.4	-4.11

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	40	39	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.23	10	-24	34	14.8	15.2	-0.33	13.2	12.7	0.48
Dean Wade	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	6.7	15.4	-8.61	18.0	12.8	5.22
Matt Mooney	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	6.7	15.4	-8.61	18.0	12.8	5.22
Tyler Cook	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	6.7	15.4	-8.61	18.0	12.8	5.22
Matthew Dellavedova	41	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-19	24	14.9	15.1	-0.29	13.1	12.8	0.32
Larry Nance Jr.	55	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.24	6	-20	26	14.5	15.6	-1.08	13.8	12.0	1.78
Alfonzo McKinnie	51	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-14	14	15.2	14.8	0.37	13.2	12.7	0.52
Dante Exum	38	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-6	-2	15.4	14.8	0.66	13.3	12.7	0.65
Kevin Porter Jr.	55	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-6	-2	15.6	14.4	1.23	12.5	13.4	-0.83
Cedi Osman	52	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	0	-14	14.8	15.2	-0.37	12.7	13.2	-0.52
Collin Sexton	68	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.05	-18	4	-22	14.9	15.2	-0.30	12.7	13.5	-0.77
Tristan Thompson	48	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.22	-25	11	-36	16.2	14.0	2.29	11.6	14.2	-2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 105, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0	95.9%
MEM 102, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
POR 116, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%