NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	118		Excitement	7.2 [415]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): +29.2%
New York Knicks	112		Comeback	2.8 [723]		LVP	Frank Ntilikina (NYK): -7.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.29	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.25,0.29	0.10	0.19	-0.00	15	70%	0.37	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Norman Powell	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.01	11	67%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.00	12	62%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14	0.17	0.01	0.04	12	68%	0.14	0	0.00	14	93%	0.07
Marc Gasol	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.05	-0.04	5	60%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	11	64%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.06	0.00	7	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terence Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.04	-0.00	10	84%	0.26	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.05	-0.02	8	71%	0.19	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	8	69%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.14,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	11	52%	0.12	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	15	54%	0.07	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.02
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.04	0.05	15	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.03
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.3	24.5	15.4	29.2	1.8	34.0	128.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +50.9%

NYK -4.6%

NYK -29.5%

TOR +30.8%

TOR +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	16.4	14.2	126.9	120.4	109.6
season	14.0	14.5		109.9	105.4
opponent	14.4	14.5		111.9	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.3	14.1	14.1	13.8	14.6
NYK	15.0	20.2	17.2	13.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	36	36	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.02	18	-12	30	14.3	14.7	-0.39	18.8	14.9	3.88
Marc Gasol	61	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	0	6	14.0	15.7	-1.66	16.1	16.9	-0.79
Fred VanVleet	77	78	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	3	0	14.2	16.1	-1.88	16.1	17.9	-1.83
Norman Powell	45	45	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	-2	10	15.0	14.2	0.75	18.0	14.9	3.10
Terence Davis	24	24	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.02	9	-3	12	14.9	14.5	0.41	18.7	15.6	3.11
OG Anunoby	51	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.34	-5	11	-16	14.8	14.3	0.47	15.1	17.9	-2.76
Kyle Lowry	69	70	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.35	-6	12	-18	14.8	14.0	0.82	15.6	18.9	-3.28
Pascal Siakam	64	65	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.33	-6	12	-18	14.6	14.6	-0.02	15.3	18.9	-3.62
Serge Ibaka	38	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.00	3	3	0	15.1	14.2	0.82	16.9	16.1	0.82

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Bullock	43	42	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-10	14	16.7	16.2	0.47	14.6	14.6	0.00
Taj Gibson	23	23	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-10	14	15.0	16.9	-1.91	15.7	14.2	1.55
Julius Randle	66	68	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.37	11	-17	28	15.3	19.1	-3.88	15.1	13.2	1.87
Marcus Morris Sr.	73	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.34	6	-12	18	15.5	19.6	-4.08	14.5	15.0	-0.54
Elfrid Payton	68	69	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-11	16	15.6	18.4	-2.79	14.7	14.3	0.38
Frank Ntilikina	25	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	5	-16	18.4	15.6	2.79	14.3	14.7	-0.38
Kevin Knox II	20	19	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.01	-12	6	-18	19.6	15.5	4.08	15.0	14.5	0.54
Mitchell Robinson	40	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	6	-18	18.3	14.9	3.38	14.4	14.7	-0.25
Bobby Portis	54	53	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	6	-18	16.6	16.2	0.38	13.6	15.8	-2.16
Damyean Dotson	53	53	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	7	-20	16.6	16.1	0.48	14.5	14.7	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.45,0.28,0.15,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 112, NYK 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.39,0.16,0.01,0,0	93.9%
NYK 89, VAN 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.15,0.29,0.31,0.16,0	91.2%
CLE 102, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.08,0	91.1%