NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	106		Excitement	4.9 [788]		MVP	Damyean Dotson (NYK): +14.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Comeback	1.5 [652]		LVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): -16.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damyean Dotson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	7	86%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	16	56%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Taj Gibson	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	5	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Knox II	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.07	9	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	11	37%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Julius Randle	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.03	0.06	17	49%	-0.03	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedi Osman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	9	55%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Mooney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.04	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	14	43%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.19	-0.03	-0.13	20	26%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	20	39%	-0.09	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.3	24.5	14.5	28.4	2.4	26.3	121.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +37.7%

NYK +11.2%

CLE -2.9%

NYK +1.8%

NYK +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	14.2	108.2	89.6	109.6
season	14.5	15.1		105.4	106.3
opponent	13.8	14.4		114.2	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.0	15.3	13.1	16.1	14.9
CLE	13.7	16.0	15.1	14.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	40	40	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.14	20	0	20	13.4	15.9	-2.46	17.5	12.9	4.53
Kevin Knox II	29	30	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.11	16	4	12	14.3	15.1	-0.73	16.6	14.0	2.52
Reggie Bullock	63	60	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.13	14	6	8	14.8	14.9	-0.04	14.5	15.4	-0.89
Bobby Portis	41	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	8	4	14.4	15.2	-0.80	15.7	14.2	1.53
Elfrid Payton	60	57	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	10	0	15.2	14.3	0.88	14.2	15.7	-1.53
Frank Ntilikina	38	39	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	10	0	14.3	15.2	-0.88	15.7	14.2	1.53
Julius Randle	57	56	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	12	-4	15.2	14.4	0.80	14.2	15.7	-1.53
Damyean Dotson	41	42	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	15	-10	15.3	14.5	0.79	14.9	14.8	0.08
Marcus Morris Sr.	63	60	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.00	5	15	-10	14.8	14.9	-0.13	14.3	15.8	-1.51
Mitchell Robinson	58	56	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	20	-20	15.9	13.4	2.46	12.9	17.5	-4.53

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Mooney	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-21	22	11.8	15.0	-3.20	17.8	14.7	3.17
Tyler Cook	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-21	22	11.8	15.0	-3.20	17.8	14.7	3.17
Matthew Dellavedova	25	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-17	14	15.6	14.6	0.98	14.8	14.9	-0.12
Darius Garland	70	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-11	2	14.6	15.5	-0.91	15.2	14.0	1.11
Larry Nance Jr.	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-10	0	15.9	13.5	2.44	15.0	14.7	0.30
Tristan Thompson	74	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-11	2	13.6	19.1	-5.52	15.1	14.2	0.89
Dante Exum	49	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	-11	2	15.1	14.5	0.63	15.1	14.6	0.54
Cedi Osman	68	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	0	-20	14.5	15.7	-1.24	14.7	15.3	-0.59
Collin Sexton	70	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.05	-20	0	-20	15.2	13.8	1.41	14.3	16.3	-1.97
Kevin Love	59	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	0.03	-22	2	-24	15.7	13.4	2.37	14.2	16.0	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.33,0.27,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 114, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.5%
VAN 92, GSW 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
CHA 113, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%