inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 105 Excitement13.0 [11] MVPRichaun Holmes (SAC): +15.3%
Sacramento Kings 104 Comeback5.2 [161] LVPBogdan Bogdanovic (SAC): -56.4%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng0.150,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.150.120.040.011370%0.171-0.024100%0.06
Treveon Graham0.110,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.070.00664%0.1100.002100%0.01
Noah Vonleh0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.010.00367%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kelan Martin0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.010.00275%0.0400.0000%0.00
Josh Okogie-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.01-0.00558%0.031-0.04250%-0.02
Robert Covington-0.010,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.07-0.051947%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Jarrett Culver-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02729%-0.0400.00333%-0.03
Keita Bates-Diop-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.01-0.00614%-0.091-0.032100%0.03
Andrew Wiggins-0.270,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.17,-0.32,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27-0.09-0.160.031937%-0.153-0.131080%0.10
Shabazz Napier-0.310,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31-0.12-0.20-0.01714%-0.262-0.0500%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.340,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.25,-0.3,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34-0.11-0.23-0.001739%-0.154-0.184100%0.03

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richaun Holmes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.080.07-0.001562%0.191-0.042100%0.02
Nemanja Bjelica0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.020.06-0.04650%0.1200.002100%0.01
Marvin Bagley III0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.031067%0.112-0.06786%0.01
De'Aaron Fox0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.030.001042%0.021-0.024100%0.02
Yogi Ferrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.050.0000%0.001-0.0700%0.00
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0,0.03,-0.19-0.19-0.06-0.130.002040%-0.112-0.082100%0.01
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.05-0.160.001237%-0.181-0.04683%0.03
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.07-0.170.0030%-0.201-0.0400%0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.22,-0.36,-0.41,-0.37,-0.37,-0.39,-0.51,-0.51,-0.51,-0.54,-0.56,-0.56-0.56-0.13-0.43-0.002833%-0.531-0.0320%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game24.22.528.214.624.32.428.92.416.91.711.5157.7
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.42.315.42.315.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC -0.7%
MIN +32.4%
MIN +7.3%
SAC -5.8%
MIN +16.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINSACNBAMINSACNBA
this game15.914.214.291.389.7109.6
season13.814.3107.1109.0
opponent14.513.8110.9110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIN15.815.114.217.017.515.7
SAC14.214.214.016.59.714.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Covington77800.88-0.381.260.5312-112316.814.22.6614.014.6-0.64
Treveon Graham66680.75-0.251.000.7501-116.615.11.4615.612.23.43
Gorgui Dieng77770.74-0.240.980.595-4917.612.55.1014.314.00.30
Andrew Wiggins87890.62-0.120.730.5910116.414.61.8113.516.6-3.17
Jeff Teague71730.270.230.040.30-12-316.015.90.0514.413.90.43
Shabazz Napier44440.100.40-0.300.042-1315.916.0-0.0513.614.6-0.94
Josh Okogie3936-0.010.51-0.52-0.0410114.016.9-2.9013.314.6-1.33
Kelan Martin1110-0.100.60-0.70-0.07-12-312.916.3-3.3516.114.02.08
Jarrett Culver2827-0.120.62-0.73-0.1201-114.616.4-1.8116.613.53.17
Noah Vonleh3839-0.240.74-0.98-0.12-45-912.517.6-5.1014.014.3-0.30
Keita Bates-Diop2726-0.280.78-1.050.02-1011-2114.716.3-1.6614.114.2-0.16

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marvin Bagley III43430.19-0.690.88-0.017-81513.814.4-0.6514.616.7-2.13
De'Aaron Fox440.05-0.550.60-0.074-5911.514.3-2.7921.715.76.02
Yogi Ferrell19190.04-0.540.580.10-21-317.113.63.4814.616.2-1.63
Dewayne Dedmon440.00-0.500.510.000-1113.714.2-0.4614.216.0-1.75
Nemanja Bjelica2932-0.04-0.460.430.05-32-516.913.33.5514.516.5-1.95
Buddy Hield7877-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.342-3513.216.2-3.0315.417.0-1.55
Bogdan Bogdanovic8483-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.310-1114.413.70.6216.315.01.26
Cory Joseph7980-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.28-54-914.314.10.2115.716.4-0.70
Harrison Barnes8783-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.532-3513.316.9-3.5516.514.51.95
Richaun Holmes8786-0.530.03-0.57-0.51-10-114.314.00.2217.012.94.07
Trevor Ariza6664-0.720.22-0.94-0.45-98-1714.613.60.9816.015.80.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.58,0.73,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.41,0.54,0.31,0.11,0.06,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 104, MIN 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.55,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.1,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.06,0.01,089.1%
LAL 105, POR 1040.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.23,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.28,088.2%
LAC 120, POR 1120.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.54,0.69,0.46,0.57,0.83,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.16,0.01,088.0%