NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	102		Excitement	7.2 [418]		MVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (UTA): +32.0%
Utah Jazz	109		Comeback	8.4 [244]		LVP	Royce O'Neale (UTA): -8.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.03	10	92%	0.35	1	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Terrence Ross	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.07	0.00	9	42%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Mo Bamba	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	13	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	15	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09	0.00	-0.06	0.03	17	49%	-0.05	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.13,0.22,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.17	0.18	0.03	22	65%	0.34	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.14	0.01	23	62%	0.29	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	8	89%	0.18	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	10	60%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.11	-0.01	8	65%	0.08	3	-0.17	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	26.2	15.4	24.5	2.2	32.6	125.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +56.7%

ORL -12.8%

UTA +26.5%

ORL -20.7%

UTA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	UTA	NBA	ORL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.1	15.0	14.2	103.0	110.1	109.6
season	14.7	14.9		107.1	112.1
opponent	14.2	14.2		109.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.5	15.3	15.4	12.4	14.1
UTA	15.3	13.5	15.9	15.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Carter-Williams	36	37	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.14	7	-14	21	13.7	14.3	-0.68	16.0	14.4	1.57
Terrence Ross	50	52	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.08	9	-16	25	13.4	14.8	-1.34	15.3	14.6	0.75
Jonathan Isaac	63	62	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-3	-1	15.2	12.1	3.08	15.8	13.6	2.27
D.J. Augustin	53	53	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.28	9	-16	25	14.3	13.9	0.35	15.6	14.3	1.32
Mo Bamba	30	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-7	7	14.1	14.1	-0.00	15.5	14.8	0.70
Nikola Vucevic	69	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	0	-7	14.1	14.1	0.00	14.8	15.5	-0.70
Aaron Gordon	65	65	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.36	-12	5	-17	13.4	15.4	-1.91	14.2	16.6	-2.39
Evan Fournier	71	69	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.36	-18	11	-29	14.2	13.8	0.39	14.6	16.0	-1.40
Markelle Fultz	58	58	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.34	-19	12	-31	14.2	14.0	0.17	14.0	16.4	-2.39

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Mitchell	70	73	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.41	19	-12	31	14.7	15.7	-0.99	15.1	11.3	3.79
Royce O'Neale	74	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-2	11	14.3	17.0	-2.69	13.8	15.0	-1.22
Bojan Bogdanovic	74	75	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-4	15	15.0	15.1	-0.12	14.4	13.1	1.34
Rudy Gobert	75	77	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-4	15	15.1	14.7	0.37	14.7	11.9	2.88
Joe Ingles	80	78	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	4	-1	14.5	17.1	-2.62	13.5	16.5	-3.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	20	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	2	3	15.9	14.8	1.14	16.1	13.5	2.56
Jeff Green	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	9	-11	15.7	14.7	0.97	14.2	14.1	0.09
Ed Davis	24	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	11	-15	14.7	15.1	-0.37	11.9	14.7	-2.88
Mike Conley	41	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	16	-25	16.0	14.3	1.64	12.6	15.0	-2.41
Georges Niang	7	6	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.14	-8	15	-23	20.0	14.6	5.39	12.0	14.2	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.75,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.81,0.81,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.35,0.22,0.19,0.36,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 73, DET 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.85,0.69,0.54,0.33,0.53,0.54,0.76,0.58,1	89.8%
WAS 85, SEA 88	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.17,0.31,0.46,0.68,0.92,1	89.6%
UTA 88, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.64,0.46,0.39,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.58,1	88.9%