NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	106		Excitement	10.0 [83]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +35.1%
Chicago Bulls	109		Comeback	12.7 [95]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -12.7%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Shamet	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.13	0.01	5	110%	0.25	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	4	79%	0.11	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.09
Terance Mann	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney McGruder	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jerome Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	55%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.06	-0.02	24	48%	0.07	2	-0.07	14	86%	0.05
Derrick Walton Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.06	4	30%	0.03	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Ivica Zubac	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Paul George	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.22,-0.11	0.00	-0.12	-0.01	20	57%	0.06	6	-0.17	7	86%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.27,0.35	0.35	0.14	0.21	0.00	21	65%	0.67	3	-0.32	6	83%	-0.02
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.34	0.34	0.06	0.32	0.04	11	67%	0.42	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.02	10	64%	0.18	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	12	65%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	72%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	7	39%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	26.6	14.5	28.2	2.3	45.6	142.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +94.2%

LAC -18.1%

CHI +20.5%

LAC -42.1%

LAC -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHI	NBA	LAC	CHI	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	14.2	107.1	110.1	109.6
season	13.8	14.1		113.2	105.3
opponent	14.4	14.4		108.2	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.8	15.0	14.0	14.6	14.4
CHI	15.0	11.7	14.8	18.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Walton Jr.	58	60	0.64	-1.14	1.77	0.05	20	-23	43	13.7	15.3	-1.69	15.9	12.9	2.99
Patrick Patterson	44	44	0.55	-1.05	1.61	-0.12	23	-26	49	13.6	15.0	-1.37	15.9	13.8	2.15
Jerome Robinson	46	46	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.13	7	-10	17	14.7	14.1	0.60	15.0	14.5	0.45
Montrezl Harrell	66	65	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.54	15	-18	33	13.7	15.7	-2.06	15.7	12.9	2.83
Rodney McGruder	51	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.57	16	-19	35	13.3	15.5	-2.19	15.4	14.1	1.25
Ivica Zubac	33	34	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	15	-33	15.7	13.7	2.06	12.9	15.7	-2.83
Terance Mann	36	36	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	13	-29	15.4	13.7	1.71	12.7	15.9	-3.17
Landry Shamet	43	42	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.34	-16	13	-29	15.1	13.8	1.31	15.0	14.5	0.50
Paul George	64	64	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.33	-21	18	-39	14.8	13.6	1.17	14.3	15.5	-1.11
Maurice Harkless	54	55	-1.20	0.70	-1.90	-0.46	-25	22	-47	14.6	14.0	0.65	13.3	16.5	-3.25

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Dunn	59	60	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.25	22	-19	41	14.3	15.4	-1.07	15.1	13.2	1.89
Zach LaVine	76	75	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-7	17	14.3	16.3	-1.98	14.4	14.3	0.03
Lauri Markkanen	82	83	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.34	13	-10	23	14.5	15.9	-1.38	14.7	12.7	1.91
Wendell Carter Jr.	75	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	1	1	14.5	15.5	-1.06	15.0	12.6	2.36
Tomas Satoransky	61	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-11	25	13.8	16.3	-2.52	14.8	13.7	1.07
Shaquille Harrison	2	2	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	1	1	9.0	14.9	-5.86	8.5	14.5	-5.97
Denzel Valentine	50	51	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.38	-16	19	-35	16.0	13.5	2.51	14.2	14.5	-0.24
Thaddeus Young	41	42	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	12	-21	15.7	14.1	1.61	12.7	15.6	-2.93
Ryan Arcidiacono	23	24	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	10	-17	16.3	14.3	1.98	14.3	14.4	-0.03
Coby White	26	28	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.07	-16	19	-35	16.0	14.3	1.76	12.5	15.1	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.75,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.15,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 87, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.27,0.31,0.45,0.14,0.27,1	90.7%
BOS 103, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.4,0.54,0.46,0.32,0.42,1	89.0%
NOH 95, LAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.15,0.42,1	88.8%