NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	87		Excitement	9.8 [46]		MVP	Hubert Davis (DAL): +23.5%
New Jersey Nets	88		Comeback	9.0 [88]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -36.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.35,0.35,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.12	0.00	7	86%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	9	61%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	86%	0.08	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.04
Chris Anstey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.00	11	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Samaki Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.2,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.06	-0.16	0.10	-0.01	23	39%	0.04	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.03
Shawn Bradley	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	6	17%	-0.15	1	-0.04	6	17%	-0.09
Michael Finley	-0.37	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.11,-0.37	-0.12	-0.27	-0.02	27	36%	-0.35	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Carr	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	16	64%	0.15	3	-0.16	13	85%	0.07
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	14	47%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.15,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	0.00	8	44%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.11
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	17	47%	0.05	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25	-0.25	-0.13	-0.12	-0.00	11	24%	-0.22	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.5	29.0	14.6	29.4	1.7	39.0	136.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -32.9%

NJN +60.0%

NJN +34.3%

DAL -30.1%

NJN +18.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NJN	NBA	DAL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.2	16.2	15.8	98.9	97.8	99.6
season	15.9	15.0		99.7	96.5
opponent	15.6	15.6		100.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.5	16.2	16.8	15.2	16.2
NJN	16.2	15.8	14.5	18.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	32	35	0.53	-1.03	1.56	0.12	14	-15	29	14.9	16.9	-2.04	17.1	15.6	1.48
Erick Strickland	25	24	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-4	7	15.7	16.4	-0.73	15.2	16.5	-1.29
Samaki Walker	4	5	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-4	7	15.2	16.2	-1.00	24.8	15.6	9.15
A.C. Green	71	72	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.49	14	-15	29	15.7	18.4	-2.74	16.5	14.9	1.58
Chris Anstey	6	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	7	-15	18.5	16.0	2.46	15.6	16.2	-0.58
Hubert Davis	41	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-4	7	15.0	17.2	-2.16	16.6	15.8	0.82
Shawn Bradley	44	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	10	-21	17.6	14.8	2.82	16.4	16.0	0.41
Michael Finley	80	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.52	2	-3	5	16.2	16.4	-0.19	16.5	13.0	3.55
Steve Nash	69	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.40	-6	5	-11	16.3	16.0	0.26	15.5	18.7	-3.27
Gary Trent	68	69	-1.15	0.65	-1.80	-0.59	-19	18	-37	17.2	12.9	4.21	15.0	20.0	-5.01

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	64	63	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.36	13	-12	25	15.5	17.9	-2.43	16.9	14.4	2.58
Kendall Gill	66	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	0	1	16.8	14.3	2.48	16.5	15.3	1.28
Stephon Marbury	83	80	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.43	2	-1	3	16.3	14.1	2.18	16.2	16.0	0.23
Kerry Kittles	61	62	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.50	-2	3	-5	15.4	17.7	-2.21	15.7	17.3	-1.57
Jayson Williams	79	74	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	3	-5	16.6	12.8	3.80	16.3	15.7	0.58
Lucious Harris	27	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	-5	11	15.1	16.6	-1.54	15.8	16.3	-0.51
Doug Overton	11	11	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.04	1	0	1	16.2	16.2	0.03	16.6	16.1	0.49
Chris Carr	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	1	-1	0.0	16.3	-16.34	1.0	16.4	-15.38
Jim McIlvaine	21	23	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	7	-13	18.3	15.5	2.84	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Scott Burrell	37	36	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.04	-8	9	-17	16.0	16.3	-0.31	15.5	16.7	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.27,0.31,0.45,0.14,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, UTA 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.16,0.42,1	90.3%
POR 97, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.69,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.17,1	88.5%
GSW 122, DEN 123	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.29,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.77,0.64,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.87,0.69,0.4,0.25,0.29,0.15,0.26,1	88.0%