NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	117		Excitement	8.6 [208]		MVP	Malcolm Brogdon (IND): +51.7%
Indiana Pacers	122		Comeback	8.3 [188]		LVP	T.J. McConnell (IND): -6.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.35,0.35,0.26,0.27	0.28	-0.00	0.01	28	70%	0.35	2	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Jaylen Brown	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.08	0.03	12	67%	0.21	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Brad Wanamaker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.11	-0.00	9	55%	0.19	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.04
Daniel Theis	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	9	61%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.07	0.00	13	50%	0.12	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.07
Carsen Edwards	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.52	0.52	0.22	0.34	0.04	10	83%	0.54	1	-0.02	15	100%	0.21
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.27,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.18	0.23	0.00	9	95%	0.41	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.11	0.00	14	61%	0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	11	54%	0.12	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Goga Bitadze	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	8	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	11	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.3	29.3	14.5	26.5	1.6	41.2	140.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +6.7%

IND +26.6%

BOS -4.0%

IND +21.2%

BOS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	14.5	13.8	14.2	114.7	119.6	109.6
season	14.5	14.4		112.0	108.7
opponent	14.4	14.4		107.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.3	13.8	13.4	14.4	14.5
IND	13.7	13.3	16.6	11.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	32	30	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.04	4	-9	13	14.0	14.7	-0.70	12.5	14.3	-1.83
Gordon Hayward	50	51	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.15	-1	-4	3	15.2	13.7	1.49	14.4	13.1	1.35
Jaylen Brown	67	69	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.28	13	-18	31	15.1	13.3	1.78	15.0	11.1	3.98
Carsen Edwards	22	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-1	-3	11.7	15.2	-3.51	11.2	14.4	-3.23
Brad Wanamaker	55	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-5	5	13.7	15.4	-1.71	12.9	14.7	-1.88
Javonte Green	12	12	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	2	-9	12.7	14.7	-1.96	11.7	14.0	-2.27
Daniel Theis	51	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-7	9	15.9	13.1	2.80	15.2	12.3	2.93
Kemba Walker	71	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-4	3	14.9	13.6	1.25	14.4	12.1	2.30
Grant Williams	19	20	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	8	-21	11.5	15.2	-3.63	11.9	14.2	-2.25
Semi Ojeleye	54	52	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	5	-15	14.4	14.5	-0.12	12.8	14.7	-1.89
Jayson Tatum	77	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.37	-8	3	-11	14.8	13.6	1.17	13.8	13.7	0.10

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Holiday	60	62	1.09	-0.59	1.68	0.24	29	-24	53	11.9	16.4	-4.55	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Domantas Sabonis	72	71	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.18	19	-14	33	14.0	13.1	0.93	15.2	12.9	2.27
Malcolm Brogdon	61	61	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.42	-2	7	-9	14.6	12.5	2.12	14.5	14.4	0.11
Justin Holiday	71	71	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.39	-1	6	-7	12.9	15.6	-2.67	13.9	15.7	-1.81
T.J. Warren	62	62	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.46	-7	12	-19	14.5	12.5	2.02	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Doug McDermott	40	40	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.11	12	-7	19	12.5	14.5	-2.02	14.5	14.5	0.03
T.J. McConnell	43	44	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.08	6	-1	7	12.7	14.6	-1.91	14.1	14.7	-0.61
Myles Turner	50	50	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.26	-13	18	-31	15.0	12.6	2.44	14.6	14.4	0.20
Goga Bitadze	5	5	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	10	-15	13.6	13.8	-0.16	10.0	14.7	-4.71
Jeremy Lamb	46	44	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.05	-13	18	-31	15.6	12.2	3.34	15.0	14.1	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.31,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.34,0.46,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 118, GSW 124	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.91,1	90.9%
NOH 90, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.42,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.33,0.47,0.63,0.56,0.92,1	90.8%
MIN 110, SAS 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.41,0.35,0.54,0.45,0.64,0.67,0.98,1	90.5%