NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	90		Excitement	7.4 [283]		MVP	Devin Harris (UTA): +18.1%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	2.6 [537]		LVP	Marco Belinelli (NOH): -23.9%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	7	87%	0.25	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	13	62%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.04,0.06	0.14	-0.02	0.06	17	71%	0.17	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Trey Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.05	0.00	6	61%	0.04	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Greivis Vasquez	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24	-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	9	33%	-0.10	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.16	0.03	9	68%	0.27	3	-0.09	10	60%	-0.07
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.12	0.00	8	54%	0.16	0	0.00	8	87%	0.05
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.01	18	59%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	12	46%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	64%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	28.2	15.5	23.4	1.8	30.7	127.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +36.4%

NOH -7.4%

NOH -8.4%

UTA +28.8%

UTA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	UTA	NBA	NOH	UTA	NBA
this game	16.3	16.2	15.6	101.1	106.8	102.8
season	16.3	15.8		99.2	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.7		104.7	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.7	16.4	15.1	18.4	16.3
UTA	14.9	16.4	17.0	16.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	31	31	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-7	10	16.5	16.2	0.26	17.4	15.6	1.79
Trey Johnson	23	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-4	4	16.2	16.3	-0.13	13.4	17.3	-3.89
Carl Landry	31	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-3	2	17.5	15.7	1.79	17.9	15.3	2.54
Jason Smith	47	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-4	4	15.6	17.1	-1.48	15.4	17.3	-1.92
Greivis Vasquez	18	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	1	-6	18.8	15.7	3.09	14.6	16.6	-2.03
Jarrett Jack	73	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-3	2	16.2	16.9	-0.68	16.7	14.3	2.40
Emeka Okafor	46	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.37	0	-4	4	15.5	17.2	-1.78	16.7	15.7	0.98
Chris Kaman	54	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	3	-10	17.0	15.3	1.70	15.6	17.1	-1.43
Marco Belinelli	67	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-1	-2	16.2	16.6	-0.43	16.6	15.1	1.52
Al-Farouq Aminu	55	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.34	-6	2	-8	15.7	17.2	-1.49	16.3	16.1	0.24

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	48	48	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-8	20	15.3	17.4	-2.10	16.5	16.1	0.45
CJ Miles	40	39	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-3	10	15.8	16.6	-0.74	15.9	16.6	-0.70
Al Jefferson	60	61	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.41	2	2	0	17.5	13.5	3.95	16.4	16.1	0.35
Devin Harris	52	52	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	2	0	16.6	15.7	0.85	15.3	17.7	-2.42
Paul Millsap	49	47	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.44	0	4	-4	15.9	16.6	-0.74	15.8	16.9	-1.03
Alec Burks	19	21	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	-4	12	14.5	16.7	-2.24	17.2	16.0	1.15
Earl Watson	36	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	2	0	15.7	16.6	-0.85	17.7	15.3	2.42
Derrick Favors	40	42	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.07	4	0	4	16.3	16.2	0.13	16.9	15.8	1.03
Enes Kanter	25	26	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.00	1	3	-2	15.0	16.7	-1.71	16.8	16.1	0.70
Raja Bell	33	35	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	11	-18	17.8	15.3	2.50	16.6	16.1	0.47
Gordon Hayward	38	37	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.05	-11	15	-26	16.6	16.0	0.57	15.2	17.1	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.42,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.33,0.47,0.63,0.56,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 104, MEM 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.79,0.57,0.95,1	91.5%
POR 103, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.9,0.73,1	91.0%
PHI 102, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.46,0.45,0.85,0.99,1	90.5%