NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	106		Excitement	10.0 [88]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): +24.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	107		Comeback	2.0 [215]		LVP	Marko Guduric (MEM): -14.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.24	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24	0.11	0.15	0.01	11	79%	0.33	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.04
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.00	15	56%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	4	87%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	19	35%	0.02	1	-0.08	5	60%	-0.04
Tony Bradley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.18,-0.1	0.08	-0.20	-0.02	21	56%	0.05	2	-0.15	10	100%	0.10
Jeff Green	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.14	-0.00	8	69%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.13	0.00	15	59%	0.24	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.03
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	72%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	71%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	71%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.09	-0.01	13	33%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.07	0.00	22	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
Marko Guduric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	3.4	23.8	14.6	33.0	3.5	36.7	137.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +50.9%

UTA -30.5%

MEM +3.5%

MEM +31.7%

UTA -5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	14.0	13.8	14.2	102.9	102.9	109.6
season	14.9	13.8		112.1	108.2
opponent	13.9	14.2		109.2	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.2	13.5	13.0	14.5	14.0
MEM	14.2	12.2	14.2	14.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	41	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-5	9	13.0	14.7	-1.71	12.7	14.5	-1.86
Rudy Gobert	76	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.45	10	-11	21	14.2	13.6	0.64	14.4	12.2	2.22
Royce O'Neale	73	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.23	2	-3	5	14.5	12.8	1.69	14.6	12.0	2.59
Mike Conley	73	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.41	7	-8	15	14.2	13.6	0.61	14.4	12.3	2.11
Jeff Green	46	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	9	-19	14.0	14.1	-0.05	13.0	14.4	-1.43
Bojan Bogdanovic	72	73	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.45	7	-8	15	14.2	13.5	0.69	14.4	12.3	2.10
Emmanuel Mudiay	30	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	7	-15	13.6	14.2	-0.61	12.3	14.4	-2.11
Tony Bradley	27	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	10	-21	13.6	14.2	-0.64	12.2	14.4	-2.22
Donovan Mitchell	77	80	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.54	-6	5	-11	13.9	14.3	-0.37	13.5	14.7	-1.13

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dillon Brooks	64	65	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.33	16	-15	31	13.8	13.8	0.04	14.8	12.7	2.17
Ja Morant	62	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	-7	15	14.7	12.5	2.22	14.5	13.3	1.20
Jonas Valanciunas	61	64	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	-9	19	14.6	12.7	1.88	14.5	13.2	1.33
Jae Crowder	64	65	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.54	-6	7	-13	14.6	12.6	1.99	14.4	13.4	1.05
Kyle Anderson	53	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	0	1	13.6	14.0	-0.36	13.1	14.9	-1.84
Jaren Jackson Jr.	58	58	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.44	-6	7	-13	13.6	14.0	-0.40	15.2	12.6	2.62
Solomon Hill	44	43	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	-6	13	13.7	13.8	-0.12	12.9	14.8	-1.93
Brandon Clarke	43	39	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.37	-9	10	-19	12.7	14.6	-1.88	13.2	14.5	-1.33
Tyus Jones	41	39	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	8	-15	12.7	14.5	-1.76	13.3	14.5	-1.20
Marko Guduric	30	28	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.04	-9	10	-19	12.5	14.3	-1.82	12.3	14.7	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.77,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 92, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.68,0.96,1	91.3%
DEN 68, CHI 70	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.38,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.84,1	90.8%
MIL 82, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.85,0.98,1	90.7%