NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	100		Excitement	10.6 [58]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +21.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	2.8 [440]		LVP	Jamal Murray (DEN): -61.9%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0.21	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.21	-0.02	0.23	-0.01	23	41%	0.21	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06
Will Barton	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18	-0.05	0.22	-0.01	16	41%	0.22	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	13	48%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Porter Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	58%	0.14	4	-0.15	6	100%	0.05
Malik Beasley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	1	29%	-0.05	4	-0.05	5	40%	-0.05
Jamal Murray	-0.62	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.21,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53,-0.53,-0.62	-0.17	-0.47	-0.02	19	39%	-0.33	7	-0.29	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,-0.06,0,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	22	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.04	-0.01	12	49%	0.01	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.02
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	7	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jarrett Culver	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Jake Layman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	12	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.02	23	46%	-0.00	5	-0.14	8	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.5	2.6	25.6	14.0	28.0	2.0	39.0	2.4	13.2	155.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +51.4%

MIN -9.4%

DEN +29.4%

MIN -19.3%

MIN -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MIN	NBA	DEN	MIN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	14.2	92.6	88.3	109.6
season	15.0	13.8		112.0	107.1
opponent	13.8	14.5		110.9	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DEN	13.3	13.8	15.9	14.9	18.9	14.8
MIN	13.9	13.9	15.4	13.9	14.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Torrey Craig	31	35	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.59	13	-11	24	14.9	14.7	0.17	13.3	14.7	-1.44
Paul Millsap	70	71	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-8	18	15.5	13.4	2.09	13.8	15.2	-1.37
Will Barton	75	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.27	4	-2	6	15.0	14.2	0.86	14.5	13.8	0.68
Gary Harris	70	72	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	-3	8	14.9	14.5	0.35	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Mason Plumlee	36	36	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	-2	6	13.2	15.5	-2.33	15.5	13.7	1.74
Jamal Murray	75	77	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.27	-3	5	-8	15.0	14.2	0.82	12.9	17.4	-4.45
Nikola Jokic	72	75	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.24	-2	4	-6	15.5	13.2	2.33	13.7	15.5	-1.74
Jerami Grant	38	40	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.25	-8	10	-18	13.4	15.5	-2.09	15.2	13.8	1.37
Michael Porter Jr.	19	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	8	-14	15.2	14.7	0.49	14.7	14.2	0.47
Malik Beasley	11	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	9	-16	11.0	15.2	-4.18	15.4	14.2	1.18
Monte Morris	43	41	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.25	0	2	-2	14.3	15.0	-0.67	17.0	12.7	4.32

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	17	19	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.15	7	-9	16	16.0	14.0	2.01	14.9	14.7	0.24
Treveon Graham	71	71	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.30	9	-11	20	15.2	12.7	2.42	15.0	14.3	0.73
Jarrett Culver	67	63	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-7	12	14.6	13.8	0.83	14.6	15.0	-0.47
Robert Covington	65	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	0	-2	14.3	14.3	0.06	15.9	13.2	2.63
Jordan McLaughlin	18	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	6	-14	15.6	14.1	1.50	11.7	15.4	-3.70
Andrew Wiggins	84	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-1	0	14.0	15.1	-1.12	15.6	12.3	3.32
Noah Vonleh	13	12	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	11	-24	13.2	14.4	-1.30	10.7	15.3	-4.59
Josh Okogie	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-2	2	14.6	13.8	0.82	14.7	14.8	-0.13
Jake Layman	60	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.47	0	-2	2	12.7	16.2	-3.48	14.0	15.6	-1.66
Karl-Anthony Towns	89	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	5	-12	14.0	15.4	-1.39	14.8	14.5	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.22,0.09,0.54,0.69,0.28,0.31,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 94, GSW 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.22,0.09,0	90.2%
HOU 116, DEN 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.46,0.31,0.54,0.15,0.17,0	90.1%
MIN 114, SAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.46,0.69,0.55,0.32,0.58,0	89.1%