NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	101		Excitement	9.7 [106]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAC): +32.6%
LA Clippers	107		Comeback	4.5 [403]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -24.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.23	0.05	0.16	-0.02	13	53%	0.23	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.08
Hassan Whiteside	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,0.16,0.16	-0.06	0.22	0.00	18	42%	0.25	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
CJ McCollum	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	-0.02	-0.00	-0.08	23	45%	0.04	2	0.01	3	100%	0.02
Rodney Hood	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Skal Labissiere	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	9	11%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.25	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25	-0.04	-0.19	0.02	23	46%	-0.18	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,0.33	0.33	0.06	0.25	-0.02	16	59%	0.43	3	-0.11	12	92%	0.08
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.13	-0.01	11	62%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.09	0.00	7	37%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	0.03
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.15,-0.19,-0.24,-0.19,-0.11,0.01,0.06	0.06	-0.09	0.17	0.02	23	48%	0.22	6	-0.16	10	90%	0.06
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.3	30.6	16.2	27.6	2.7	35.2	141.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +57.4%

LAC +17.0%

POR -4.3%

POR -21.2%

LAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	15.0	12.4	14.2	96.2	101.9	109.6
season	14.4	13.8		111.9	113.2
opponent	14.4	13.9		107.0	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.8	15.9	13.7	16.7	15.0
LAC	13.9	12.4	13.4	10.0	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	44	44	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.07	8	-14	22	14.4	15.5	-1.03	14.2	11.1	3.07
Kent Bazemore	31	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-5	4	14.6	15.2	-0.54	11.1	12.9	-1.84
Skal Labissiere	45	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-6	6	14.6	15.3	-0.67	12.5	12.3	0.13
Hassan Whiteside	57	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-7	8	15.6	14.3	1.36	12.7	12.0	0.79
CJ McCollum	84	86	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-7	8	15.1	14.7	0.45	12.8	10.4	2.48
Damian Lillard	82	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-3	0	15.0	15.0	0.09	12.8	11.1	1.65
Mario Hezonja	57	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	10	-26	15.1	14.9	0.24	11.1	13.9	-2.77
Anfernee Simons	60	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	1	-8	15.5	14.4	1.06	11.2	13.9	-2.63
Rodney Hood	65	68	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.44	-13	7	-20	14.7	15.6	-0.92	12.5	12.2	0.33

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	65	65	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.38	9	-3	12	12.9	11.6	1.29	15.4	14.4	0.98
Kawhi Leonard	74	73	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-2	10	12.5	12.2	0.34	14.9	15.4	-0.50
Montrezl Harrell	64	64	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-3	12	10.9	14.7	-3.75	15.3	14.6	0.73
Lou Williams	62	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	1	4	12.0	13.0	-1.02	15.9	13.8	2.07
Landry Shamet	61	63	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	-1	8	13.6	10.8	2.76	15.8	13.9	1.91
Rodney McGruder	33	32	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	1	4	10.2	13.4	-3.19	14.7	15.2	-0.54
Patrick Patterson	42	41	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	9	-12	14.7	10.9	3.86	14.6	15.3	-0.73
Ivica Zubac	41	41	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	9	-12	14.7	10.9	3.75	14.6	15.3	-0.73
JaMychal Green	36	37	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.08	-3	9	-12	11.5	12.9	-1.33	14.3	15.4	-1.13
Maurice Harkless	47	46	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.09	-4	10	-14	10.7	13.7	-3.00	13.8	16.0	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.28,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.36,0.69,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 106, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.41,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.55,0.67,0.85,1	91.2%
CHI 106, BKN 107	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.37,0.45,0.58,1	90.7%
MIA 65, BOS 70	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.22,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.21,0.43,0.85,1	90.7%