NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	106		Excitement	4.6 [840]		MVP	Doug McDermott (IND): +20.1%
Indiana Pacers	121		Comeback	1.5 [769]		LVP	Rui Hachimura (WAS): -10.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moritz Wagner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.00	-0.05	6	57%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	11	68%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.14	-0.01	0.09	10	74%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Troy Brown Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	9	39%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	8	69%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McRae	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	29	48%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Ish Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	5	38%	0.03	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	10	45%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Isaac Bonga	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.02	-0.02	10	83%	0.21	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.01	0.06	10	86%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.01	-0.04	6	65%	0.11	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	12	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.05	15	68%	0.08	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alize Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	11	46%	0.05	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	14	36%	-0.05	2	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	8	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	30.2	15.0	31.2	2.6	31.5	135.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.4%

WAS -1.2%

WAS -0.8%

IND +22.4%

IND +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	14.0	14.1	14.2	102.9	118.6	109.6
season	13.7	14.4		109.8	108.7
opponent	14.4	14.0		107.4	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.8	13.1	14.1	14.2	14.0
IND	14.0	12.1	13.6	17.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan McRae	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-15	15	15.0	14.0	1.02	19.7	13.9	5.75
CJ Miles	50	49	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.32	10	-25	35	13.2	14.8	-1.57	14.5	13.7	0.85
Moritz Wagner	28	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-11	7	13.4	14.2	-0.80	16.1	13.3	2.83
Ish Smith	57	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-16	17	13.9	14.2	-0.34	16.1	11.7	4.40
Isaac Bonga	22	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-9	3	14.9	13.8	1.09	13.8	14.2	-0.40
Davis Bertans	60	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-12	9	13.6	14.5	-0.86	15.6	12.0	3.53
Troy Brown Jr.	37	35	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.25	-17	2	-19	14.1	14.0	0.15	14.4	13.9	0.43
Isaiah Thomas	45	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	1	-17	14.5	13.6	0.89	11.9	15.8	-3.98
Thomas Bryant	75	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-4	-7	14.2	13.4	0.80	13.3	16.1	-2.83
Bradley Beal	89	90	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-5	-5	14.1	13.4	0.67	13.9	15.5	-1.60
Rui Hachimura	49	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	4	-23	14.3	13.7	0.57	11.6	16.4	-4.84

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Brogdon	75	75	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.17	26	-11	37	13.6	15.5	-1.89	14.3	13.1	1.19
T.J. Warren	69	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.14	21	-6	27	13.8	14.8	-1.03	14.3	13.5	0.77
Domantas Sabonis	62	62	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.23	24	-9	33	13.0	15.7	-2.65	14.6	13.2	1.39
Aaron Holiday	66	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	0	15	13.4	15.3	-1.92	14.3	13.4	0.94
JaKarr Sampson	51	50	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	3	9	14.3	13.9	0.37	14.5	13.5	1.03
T.J. McConnell	32	33	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	15	-15	15.2	13.6	1.69	13.5	14.2	-0.68
Doug McDermott	64	65	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	17	-19	14.6	13.2	1.36	13.3	15.2	-1.94
Goga Bitadze	40	41	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.29	-9	24	-33	15.7	13.0	2.65	13.2	14.6	-1.39
Justin Holiday	35	36	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.22	-7	22	-29	14.8	13.7	1.13	13.3	14.4	-1.13
Alize Johnson	16	17	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	20	-25	14.1	14.1	0.04	13.9	14.0	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 84, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MIL 85, WAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%
HOU 85, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%