NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	135		Excitement	12.1 [24]		MVP	Edmond Sumner (IND): +105.8%
Atlanta Hawks	134		Comeback	13.1 [127]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -19.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Edmond Sumner	1.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,1.06	0.06	0.99	-0.01	14	56%	1.13	2	-0.07	11	82%	0.34
TJ Leaf	0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.32,0.32	0.17	0.15	0.00	19	65%	0.32	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.04	0.03	14	82%	0.27	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	12	48%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Alize Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Davon Reed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.05	0.02	-0.08	-0.00	11	52%	0.05	1	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taurean Prince	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.07,-0.04,0.65	0.65	0.12	0.54	0.01	17	62%	0.68	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.12	-0.01	3	87%	0.19	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	8	58%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Alex Len	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.02	17	48%	0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.05	0.02	8	106%	0.22	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.02	10	32%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	15	59%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Jaylen Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	10%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.06,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	18	49%	0.03	6	-0.22	11	91%	0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.4	33.4	14.5	30.2	2.0	36.9	148.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -35.8%

IND +80.3%

ATL -26.5%

IND +27.0%

IND +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	13.6	12.9	14.3	123.9	122.9	109.3
season	14.5	13.6		108.4	107.2
opponent	13.9	14.6		112.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	13.0	13.4	13.9	13.6
ATL	14.9	13.1	12.3	11.4	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alize Johnson	58	58	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.39	14	-13	27	13.1	14.1	-0.97	13.0	12.7	0.33
Aaron Holiday	52	52	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.52	3	-2	5	12.9	14.1	-1.18	12.7	13.0	-0.25
Davon Reed	54	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.50	-2	3	-5	13.7	13.4	0.29	12.0	13.7	-1.64
Edmond Sumner	68	71	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.40	-4	5	-9	13.3	14.0	-0.71	12.2	14.1	-1.83
TJ Leaf	76	78	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.34	-3	4	-7	13.7	13.2	0.59	12.7	13.2	-0.46
Cory Joseph	48	47	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	-3	7	13.5	13.6	-0.18	13.0	12.7	0.32
Tyreke Evans	59	59	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	4	-7	13.7	13.4	0.26	13.0	12.7	0.34
Kyle O'Quinn	23	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	2	-3	13.6	13.6	0.01	14.4	12.4	1.99
Darren Collison	35	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	0	1	14.0	13.3	0.69	14.1	12.3	1.74
Doug McDermott	72	70	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	5	-9	14.1	12.6	1.50	12.9	12.8	0.15

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	76	77	0.79	-1.29	2.07	0.26	18	-19	37	12.8	12.9	-0.11	13.9	12.8	1.01
Alex Len	70	72	0.66	-1.16	1.82	0.28	13	-14	27	12.9	12.7	0.22	13.6	13.4	0.23
Isaac Humphries	4	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	1	-3	9.7	13.0	-3.23	8.7	13.7	-5.03
Deyonta Davis	7	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	3	-7	16.1	12.6	3.51	12.7	13.6	-0.94
Jaylen Adams	20	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	5	-11	13.5	12.7	0.84	13.5	13.6	-0.07
Taurean Prince	75	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.50	9	-10	19	12.9	12.8	0.06	13.8	13.0	0.84
Vince Carter	27	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	12	-25	13.3	12.7	0.53	13.0	13.8	-0.79
John Collins	82	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.68	9	-10	19	12.7	13.2	-0.48	13.6	13.5	0.05
Kent Bazemore	40	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.01	-16	15	-31	13.0	12.8	0.22	13.1	13.8	-0.75
Kevin Huerter	68	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.77	6	-7	13	13.0	12.7	0.25	13.5	13.7	-0.15
DeAndre' Bembry	46	41	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.47	-11	10	-21	12.6	13.1	-0.48	14.0	13.3	0.67
Justin Anderson	30	30	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.61	-8	7	-15	11.9	13.2	-1.33	13.4	13.6	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.26,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.45,0.64,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 110, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.41,0	91.1%
UTA 96, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.34,0.25,0.55,0.35,0.58,0	91.0%
SAS 98, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.31,0.46,0.33,0.28,0	90.8%