NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	133		Excitement	9.1 [167]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): +30.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	128		Comeback	1.9 [366]		LVP	Rodions Kurucs (BKN): -11.0%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.17	0.12	-0.00	12	86%	0.34	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.05
Jarrett Allen	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.06	0.01	4	100%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Harris	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14	-0.03	0.14	-0.03	16	42%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.07,0.11	0.14	-0.01	0.02	15	76%	0.22	3	-0.11	3	67%	0.03
Ed Davis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.00	4	91%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.02	-0.00	8	73%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Treveon Graham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	59%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
DeMarre Carroll	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodions Kurucs	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	14	38%	-0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.31	0.31	0.20	0.13	0.01	17	80%	0.40	4	-0.09	7	57%	0.02
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.08	0.00	8	76%	0.19	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	8	78%	0.25	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	10	57%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	18	60%	0.25	4	-0.21	4	100%	0.02
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	5	75%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.00	7	69%	0.05	2	-0.10	2	0%	-0.13
D.J. Wilson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.4	26.4	15.4	27.0	1.8	33.0	129.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -28.7%

BKN +9.6%

BKN +35.5%

BKN +30.7%

BKN +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIL	NBA	BKN	MIL	NBA
this game	14.5	13.3	14.3	129.1	123.1	109.3
season	14.3	13.5		108.6	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.0		104.0	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	12.4	16.1	12.2	18.2	14.5
MIL	13.3	12.7	14.0	13.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	47	48	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.32	19	-14	33	14.9	14.2	0.66	14.0	12.7	1.34
D'Angelo Russell	70	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-7	19	14.4	14.8	-0.46	13.5	12.9	0.66
Treveon Graham	46	48	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	-1	7	15.3	13.9	1.39	13.0	13.6	-0.63
Caris LeVert	55	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	6	-7	16.1	12.7	3.46	12.8	13.9	-1.12
Joe Harris	75	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	3	-1	14.9	13.6	1.32	13.0	14.1	-1.12
DeMarre Carroll	61	61	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	8	-11	13.7	15.7	-1.99	12.7	14.1	-1.43
Ed Davis	18	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	4	-3	14.7	14.5	0.16	14.4	13.1	1.39
Jarrett Allen	30	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	12	-19	13.4	15.0	-1.65	11.8	13.9	-2.06
Rodions Kurucs	54	55	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.15	1	4	-3	13.3	15.9	-2.64	13.8	12.7	1.10
Spencer Dinwiddie	59	61	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.10	-5	10	-15	14.4	14.7	-0.30	14.1	12.1	1.98

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Frazier	38	39	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.03	8	-13	21	14.8	12.4	2.43	14.0	14.9	-0.90
Ersan Ilyasova	49	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-5	5	14.2	12.5	1.71	15.1	13.9	1.17
Sterling Brown	66	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-8	11	12.3	15.1	-2.81	14.7	14.3	0.45
Pat Connaughton	62	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	0	-5	13.6	12.8	0.78	14.7	14.2	0.47
Brook Lopez	69	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-3	1	12.3	15.3	-2.95	14.4	14.8	-0.35
D.J. Wilson	46	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	4	-13	14.9	12.0	2.86	13.0	15.8	-2.74
George Hill	48	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-8	11	14.4	12.4	2.00	14.7	14.4	0.31
Eric Bledsoe	74	70	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	4	-13	12.4	15.6	-3.28	15.0	13.5	1.50
Khris Middleton	68	65	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.33	-14	9	-23	12.7	14.4	-1.75	14.6	14.4	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.38,0.4,0.26,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.61,0.39,0.54,0.43,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 104, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.18,0	91.5%
MIL 107, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.53,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.27,0	90.7%
POR 106, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.43,0.15,0	90.7%