NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	98		Excitement	1.9 [1295]		MVP	Grayson Allen (UTA): +14.2%
Utah Jazz	119		Comeback	1.0 [1262]		LVP	Marvin Bagley III (SAC): -7.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	17	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	9	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Mason	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.00	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Caleb Swanigan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	10	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	7	59%	-0.02	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Marvin Bagley III	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.19	0.01	-0.11	16	32%	-0.02	5	-0.06	9	56%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.00	-0.07	14	82%	0.16	6	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	61%	0.05	2	-0.00	8	62%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.07	19	56%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	3	133%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	1	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	4	70%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	10	32%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyler Cavanaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Mitrou-Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	12	61%	0.04	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.4	26.3	14.4	26.7	1.8	29.5	129.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +38.5%

SAC -0.0%

UTA +2.2%

UTA +7.3%

UTA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	13.7	13.9	14.3	94.2	113.3	109.3
season	13.3	14.3		109.2	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.3		105.2	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.0	13.4	15.7	11.9	13.7
UTA	13.1	12.3	16.4	14.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Mason	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-25	29	12.2	14.0	-1.80	13.7	14.0	-0.25
Troy Williams	27	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-26	31	11.9	14.3	-2.43	14.3	13.8	0.52
Caleb Swanigan	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-26	31	12.0	14.2	-2.12	14.8	13.6	1.17
Kosta Koufos	27	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	-13	5	14.0	13.5	0.47	13.3	14.1	-0.79
Yogi Ferrell	79	79	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-16	11	13.5	14.1	-0.61	13.9	14.0	-0.13
Harrison Barnes	56	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-9	-3	14.7	12.4	2.34	14.3	13.4	0.89
Buddy Hield	55	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-7	-7	14.7	12.5	2.24	14.1	13.7	0.31
Corey Brewer	42	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	-9	-3	13.0	14.1	-1.14	13.1	14.5	-1.37
Bogdan Bogdanovic	54	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.02	-10	-11	1	12.8	14.6	-1.75	14.0	13.8	0.20
De'Aaron Fox	17	19	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.18	-16	-5	-11	13.9	13.6	0.34	12.6	14.2	-1.62
Marvin Bagley III	63	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.17	-17	-4	-13	14.3	12.6	1.72	14.2	13.5	0.72
Nemanja Bjelica	55	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.25	-25	4	-29	14.2	13.1	1.08	13.8	14.0	-0.22

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	63	61	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.17	20	1	19	14.1	13.5	0.60	13.7	13.6	0.04
Donovan Mitchell	66	67	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.22	17	4	13	14.2	13.4	0.79	14.2	12.7	1.43
Rudy Gobert	61	61	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	9	3	14.4	13.2	1.13	14.3	12.8	1.47
Grayson Allen	58	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	14	-7	14.2	13.5	0.75	13.2	14.2	-1.06
Jae Crowder	35	35	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.22	16	5	11	13.3	14.2	-0.84	15.3	12.8	2.46
Thabo Sefolosha	56	56	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	18	-15	14.5	13.2	1.31	13.0	14.4	-1.34
Ekpe Udoh	36	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	13	-5	13.6	14.1	-0.53	12.8	14.1	-1.34
Ricky Rubio	11	11	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.17	13	8	5	11.4	14.2	-2.84	15.4	13.5	1.91
Royce O'Neale	66	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	14	-7	14.5	12.9	1.64	13.7	13.5	0.18
Georges Niang	47	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	18	-15	12.8	14.8	-2.02	12.7	14.3	-1.57
Tyler Cavanaugh	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	12.3	14.1	-1.72	12.9	13.7	-0.84
Naz Mitrou-Long	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	12.3	14.1	-1.72	12.9	13.7	-0.84
Tony Bradley	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	11.9	14.1	-2.20	12.9	13.7	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 89, UTA 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
DET 78, PHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
GSW 92, OKC 120	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%