NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	122		Excitement	4.5 [940]		MVP	Justin Holiday (MEM): +15.5%
Dallas Mavericks	112		Comeback	2.3 [276]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): -7.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.04	0.02	13	74%	0.17	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Delon Wright	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.01	0.01	19	60%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.01	-0.03	8	69%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Julian Washburn	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Dorsey	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	15	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Yuta Watanabe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bruno Caboclo	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	15	70%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	7	65%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.04	15	59%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Broekhoff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05
Daryl Macon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	9	61%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	8	19%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	6	46%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	24.7	15.3	26.6	2.5	20.6	116.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +33.7%

MEM +2.8%

MEM +10.6%

MEM +2.4%

MEM +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	13.8	15.0	14.3	122.0	112.0	109.3
season	15.4	14.7		105.4	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.2		109.7	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.5	13.3	13.9	14.4	13.8
DAL	14.2	14.4	14.9	16.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delon Wright	82	82	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.05	20	-10	30	13.6	14.4	-0.77	15.3	13.9	1.34
Chandler Parsons	41	42	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.03	12	-2	14	14.0	13.6	0.49	14.7	15.3	-0.64
Ivan Rabb	62	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.07	9	1	8	13.5	14.1	-0.56	15.2	14.8	0.36
Julian Washburn	35	35	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	0	10	14.1	13.6	0.59	15.1	15.0	0.07
Jevon Carter	44	43	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.21	3	7	-4	14.0	13.6	0.35	15.6	14.6	0.91
Tyler Zeller	38	37	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	9	-8	14.1	13.5	0.56	14.8	15.2	-0.36
Justin Holiday	67	66	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.31	-6	16	-22	14.1	13.0	1.09	15.2	14.6	0.60
Yuta Watanabe	13	13	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	5	0	13.9	13.7	0.19	16.7	14.8	1.90
Tyler Dorsey	57	57	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	8	-6	13.3	14.3	-1.03	14.2	16.2	-2.01
Bruno Caboclo	61	62	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.20	-6	16	-22	13.4	14.4	-0.98	14.8	15.4	-0.57

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Burke	58	59	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.31	10	-20	30	14.2	16.2	-2.07	14.1	13.3	0.79
Dorian Finney-Smith	37	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-15	20	15.2	14.9	0.32	14.2	13.5	0.77
Justin Jackson	65	66	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.44	14	-24	38	14.8	15.5	-0.64	14.2	12.9	1.37
Courtney Lee	67	65	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-15	20	14.5	16.2	-1.70	13.7	13.8	-0.11
Salah Mejri	39	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-9	8	15.2	15.0	0.19	14.0	13.6	0.44
Maxi Kleber	45	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-1	-8	14.4	15.5	-1.08	13.3	14.1	-0.84
Daryl Macon	43	42	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	5	-20	16.2	14.1	2.09	13.3	14.1	-0.86
Dirk Nowitzki	56	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.10	-20	10	-30	14.6	15.7	-1.11	13.3	14.3	-0.92
Ryan Broekhoff	48	49	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.00	-17	7	-24	15.9	14.2	1.73	13.8	13.7	0.03
Devin Harris	42	42	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.14	-22	12	-34	16.2	14.2	2.07	13.5	14.0	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.32,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, MEM 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
PHX 110, MEM 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
LAC 102, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%