NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	103		Excitement	3.7 [1046]		MVP	Tony Delk (PHX): +9.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	89		Comeback	1.5 [1048]		LVP	Lorenzen Wright (MEM): -10.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.03	15	68%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	80%	0.13	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	5	60%	0.03	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.04	12	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
John Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	60%	0.05	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Dan Majerle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.00	16	47%	0.02	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	55%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	12	69%	0.08	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	16	47%	-0.02	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Grant Long	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	5	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	50%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.03	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	15	36%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	29.4	18.5	27.4	2.4	26.4	133.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +33.7%

PHX +10.2%

PHX +1.3%

PHX +4.1%

PHX +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	14.1	16.0	15.6	108.4	92.7	102.3
season	15.1	15.7		101.0	96.0
opponent	15.2	15.8		103.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.2	15.5	13.2	14.8	14.1
MEM	14.0	17.3	16.8	16.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	45	47	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	-2	18	14.5	13.8	0.69	16.2	15.9	0.33
Tony Delk	55	56	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.05	12	2	10	14.7	13.3	1.34	16.0	16.1	-0.14
Dan Majerle	43	44	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.04	15	-1	16	14.2	14.1	0.07	15.9	16.1	-0.21
Anfernee Hardaway	71	71	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	0	14	13.9	14.8	-0.95	16.6	14.3	2.35
Stephon Marbury	65	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	7	0	14.1	14.3	-0.21	15.6	16.9	-1.30
Tom Gugliotta	61	61	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.13	13	1	12	13.4	15.4	-2.05	16.4	15.4	1.02
Shawn Marion	45	46	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	11	-8	13.5	14.7	-1.25	16.0	16.1	-0.08
Rodney Rogers	45	45	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	9	-4	14.6	13.7	0.90	16.0	16.0	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	18	18	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	16	-18	14.3	14.1	0.19	16.0	16.0	-0.03
Jake Tsakalidis	15	15	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	15	-16	13.2	14.3	-1.10	16.5	15.9	0.53
John Wallace	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	20	-26	17.2	13.9	3.25	11.6	16.3	-4.66
Alton Ford	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	20	-26	17.2	13.9	3.25	11.6	16.3	-4.66

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Austin	7	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-13	12	14.1	16.2	-2.03	13.5	14.2	-0.68
Will Solomon	34	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.14	3	-17	20	16.0	16.0	0.01	14.2	14.1	0.17
Tony Massenburg	18	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-11	8	18.8	15.4	3.39	14.3	14.1	0.22
Jason Williams	44	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-11	8	16.0	16.0	0.05	14.5	13.8	0.77
Shane Battier	77	75	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-8	2	16.3	15.0	1.27	14.1	14.0	0.10
Nick Anderson	27	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.19	-14	0	-14	17.4	15.5	1.88	14.1	14.1	-0.01
Pau Gasol	65	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-7	0	15.2	17.7	-2.45	14.3	13.7	0.57
Brevin Knight	44	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-7	0	15.3	16.7	-1.38	13.4	14.6	-1.21
Grant Long	58	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-9	4	15.7	16.5	-0.79	13.6	14.9	-1.25
Lorenzen Wright	65	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	0	-14	16.0	16.0	0.03	13.9	14.7	-0.79
Rodney Buford	41	42	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.09	-13	-1	-12	16.2	15.9	0.35	15.1	13.4	1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 115, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
PHX 110, MEM 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
PHI 106, LAC 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%