NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	111		Excitement	9.0 [179]		MVP	Jeremy Lamb (CHA): +61.4%
Charlotte Hornets	113		Comeback	3.9 [172]		LVP	Dwayne Bacon (CHA): -11.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.32	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,-0.02,0.32	0.05	0.26	-0.01	9	70%	0.47	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0.28	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.28	0.15	0.14	0.01	18	67%	0.31	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Serge Ibaka	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.08	0.14	-0.00	15	67%	0.28	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	2	86%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.02	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0	0.01	-0.03	-0.03	13	57%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.00	8	60%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	4	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Norman Powell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.61	0.61	0.13	0.48	-0.00	16	65%	0.61	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.42	0.42	0.22	0.21	0.01	18	74%	0.42	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	4	100%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	47%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	19	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	13	31%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	24.2	14.6	25.3	2.3	34.4	129.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +9.9%

CHA +5.2%

CHA +6.6%

CHA +23.1%

CHA +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHA	NBA	TOR	CHA	NBA
this game	14.3	15.8	14.3	115.6	118.9	109.3
season	14.3	14.6		111.5	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.5		111.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.3	14.3	16.8	13.5	14.3
CHA	15.0	13.4	18.3	17.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	52	51	0.50	-1.00	1.49	0.17	11	-13	24	14.5	14.2	0.30	16.4	15.2	1.19
Kyle Lowry	74	73	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.49	15	-17	32	13.8	16.0	-2.12	15.8	16.0	-0.21
Norman Powell	40	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	4	-10	14.1	14.5	-0.43	15.8	15.9	-0.03
OG Anunoby	35	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	2	-6	14.6	14.2	0.44	13.9	17.0	-3.10
Pascal Siakam	55	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.39	6	-8	14	14.0	14.7	-0.71	16.8	14.5	2.30
Jeremy Lin	20	20	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	9	-20	15.2	14.1	1.17	14.1	16.3	-2.21
Kawhi Leonard	62	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.44	0	-2	2	14.6	13.8	0.77	16.1	15.4	0.69
Serge Ibaka	43	44	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.17	-10	8	-18	14.4	14.2	0.17	15.2	16.4	-1.19
Fred VanVleet	61	60	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	2	-6	14.4	14.3	0.10	16.1	15.4	0.75
Danny Green	38	37	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.44	-7	5	-12	14.4	14.3	0.16	16.4	15.5	0.97

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	51	53	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-14	30	16.6	14.9	1.70	14.2	14.4	-0.22
Dwayne Bacon	67	67	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	-6	14	16.2	15.0	1.14	14.8	13.2	1.55
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	49	48	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.55	-1	3	-4	16.8	14.9	1.89	15.1	13.6	1.52
Frank Kaminsky	68	71	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	-8	18	16.4	14.3	2.11	14.2	14.8	-0.59
Nicolas Batum	30	30	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-8	18	16.3	15.6	0.62	14.9	14.1	0.84
Kemba Walker	69	71	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	2	-2	16.1	15.3	0.79	14.3	14.3	0.06
Devonte' Graham	25	25	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	-2	6	14.9	16.2	-1.31	14.3	14.3	-0.06
Malik Monk	36	37	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.43	-10	12	-22	14.8	16.5	-1.62	13.4	14.9	-1.49
Willy Hernangomez	9	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	2	-2	9.4	16.5	-7.07	13.6	14.4	-0.76
Bismack Biyombo	7	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.24	-11	13	-24	13.6	16.0	-2.45	14.3	14.3	-0.04
Miles Bridges	64	63	-0.58	1.08	-1.65	-0.11	-16	18	-34	15.2	17.2	-2.01	13.9	15.2	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.53,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 102, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.94,1,1	91.1%
IND 98, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.98,1	90.9%
SAS 86, NOH 90	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.79,0.85,0.9,1	90.8%