NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	6.5 [466]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +33.3%
Chicago Bulls	104		Comeback	3.1 [420]		LVP	Mark Jackson (IND): -14.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	11	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	69%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Chris Mullin	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	72%	0.12	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.02
Derrick McKey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Mark Pope	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	0.00	13	51%	0.01	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.03
Jalen Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	61%	0.06	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.05	9	44%	0.02	7	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.19	0.00	22	66%	0.33	0	0.00	18	83%	0.05
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.02	12	52%	0.06	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dickey Simpkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.02	0.00	18	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.02
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	6	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.7	29.4	18.6	31.3	1.8	31.0	143.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +8.4%

CHI +7.0%

IND -1.7%

CHI +36.1%

CHI +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.6	106.5	114.3	102.5
season	16.0	16.2		105.3	105.8
opponent	15.8	16.1		97.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.8	16.6	16.8	16.0	15.7
CHI	14.4	17.7	15.9	15.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	42	42	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-8	10	15.2	16.2	-1.01	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Derrick McKey	32	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-4	2	16.3	15.4	0.96	17.0	15.1	1.96
Rik Smits	55	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-8	10	15.8	15.5	0.30	16.6	14.3	2.28
Travis Best	27	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-1	-4	16.8	15.3	1.55	18.4	14.7	3.71
Chris Mullin	60	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-9	12	15.8	15.6	0.24	15.5	16.2	-0.66
Mark Jackson	65	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-5	4	15.3	16.8	-1.55	14.7	18.4	-3.71
Mark Pope	17	14	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	3	-12	16.1	15.6	0.42	13.1	16.2	-3.09
Reggie Miller	80	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-3	0	15.4	18.1	-2.72	15.7	16.0	-0.27
Antonio Davis	63	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-3	0	16.0	15.2	0.80	15.6	16.1	-0.51
Jalen Rose	19	17	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	8	-22	15.6	15.7	-0.11	14.9	15.9	-1.00

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper	71	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.17	16	-10	26	15.3	17.5	-2.30	15.5	16.4	-0.91
Scottie Pippen	81	82	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	2	2	15.5	18.2	-2.74	15.7	16.0	-0.32
Dennis Rodman	45	45	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	0	6	15.6	15.9	-0.23	16.2	15.2	1.03
Bill Wennington	26	27	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	1	4	16.0	15.7	0.28	16.5	15.4	1.13
Michael Jordan	81	82	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.28	-1	7	-8	15.5	18.1	-2.63	15.3	19.1	-3.80
Scott Burrell	12	14	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	4	-2	17.6	15.5	2.10	17.6	15.4	2.19
Steve Kerr	25	27	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	2	2	15.8	15.7	0.11	16.0	15.6	0.40
Toni Kukoc	49	51	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	7	-8	15.8	15.7	0.13	15.6	15.9	-0.33
Dickey Simpkins	7	7	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	7	-8	19.3	15.5	3.82	14.7	15.8	-1.09
Jud Buechler	3	3	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	5	-4	18.0	15.7	2.32	15.7	15.7	-0.05
Randy Brown	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	6	-6	21.1	15.2	5.88	19.1	15.4	3.71
Luc Longley	47	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	11	-16	15.4	16.2	-0.78	14.9	16.5	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 109, HOU 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
CHI 117, BKN 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.64,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.7,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.89,0.91,0.95,1	93.3%
BOS 102, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.94,1,1	93.2%