NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	116		Excitement	10.6 [63]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +27.8%
Charlotte Hornets	125		Comeback	3.6 [235]		LVP	Derrick White (SAS): -26.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.04	0.16	-0.01	18	49%	0.21	0	0.00	5	80%	0.06
Bryn Forbes	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.04	12	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.05	0.02	24	54%	0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	70%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Marco Belinelli	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.03	16	53%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.04	5	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	15	53%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.09	-0.00	6	0%	-0.14	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.27	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27	-0.18	-0.10	-0.02	10	17%	-0.20	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.15,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.07	0.24	0.03	31	52%	0.34	2	-0.06	11	73%	-0.04
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.08	-0.00	10	71%	0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.00	-0.00	16	67%	0.15	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	5	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Miles Bridges	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	6	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	5	44%	-0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.03	-0.18	-0.01	11	36%	-0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	25.4	15.4	28.6	2.3	31.6	2.3	14.2	144.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +59.9%

SAS -17.5%

SAS -17.3%

CHA +20.0%

CHA +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHA	NBA	SAS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.7	14.0	14.3	105.5	112.6	109.3
season	14.8	14.6		111.7	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.4		111.6	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	15.2	14.7	15.0	14.7	13.3	14.7
CHA	13.0	14.7	13.3	16.0	12.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	44	44	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.09	1	-10	11	13.8	15.3	-1.50	14.4	13.9	0.50
Quincy Pondexter	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	10.0	14.8	-4.76	18.0	14.0	3.97
Lonnie Walker IV	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	10.0	14.8	-4.76	18.0	14.0	3.97
Marco Belinelli	66	68	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-10	11	14.5	15.0	-0.55	14.2	13.8	0.41
Bryn Forbes	59	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-6	3	14.6	14.9	-0.27	14.5	13.6	0.88
Davis Bertans	44	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-10	11	13.7	15.4	-1.73	14.0	14.1	-0.18
Derrick White	60	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-3	-3	14.7	14.8	-0.08	14.6	13.4	1.18
Rudy Gay	64	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	15.2	14.0	1.27	14.2	13.8	0.41
Patty Mills	42	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	14.6	14.8	-0.20	12.5	15.0	-2.42
DeMar DeRozan	80	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	5	-19	15.3	13.1	2.18	13.8	14.8	-0.97
LaMarcus Aldridge	89	89	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	2	-13	15.2	12.7	2.48	13.9	14.6	-0.66

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Bacon	77	76	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.31	15	-6	21	13.5	15.3	-1.77	15.0	14.1	0.87
Frank Kaminsky	66	65	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.28	13	-4	17	14.3	13.7	0.63	15.3	13.9	1.33
Kemba Walker	87	85	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.18	8	1	7	14.4	12.8	1.57	14.9	14.0	0.93
Willy Hernangomez	48	47	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	3	3	13.1	14.8	-1.76	14.9	14.6	0.31
Jeremy Lamb	44	41	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	3	3	13.3	14.5	-1.20	15.4	14.3	1.07
Marvin Williams	60	60	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	7	-5	14.5	13.6	0.91	14.2	15.4	-1.18
Malik Monk	28	30	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	11	-13	13.6	14.2	-0.66	14.0	15.0	-0.94
Devonte' Graham	47	47	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	14	-19	14.5	13.7	0.78	13.3	15.8	-2.52
Bismack Biyombo	26	27	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.05	-4	13	-17	15.0	13.8	1.17	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Miles Bridges	60	61	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.13	-3	12	-15	14.6	13.4	1.24	15.3	14.0	1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.35,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.41,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 109, POR 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.34,0.25,0.13,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.85,0.75,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.46,0.43,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.77,0.84,1	90.9%
GSW 89, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.96,1	89.1%
MIL 111, CLE 114	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.61,0.45,0.57,0.17,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.86,0.84,1	88.9%