NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	109		Excitement	11.2 [27]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +51.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	116		Comeback	6.5 [339]		LVP	Markieff Morris (WAS): -38.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26	0.10	0.16	-0.00	10	67%	0.29	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	12	72%	0.25	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
Marcin Gortat	0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	12	68%	0.15	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Otto Porter	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	12	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.06
John Wall	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.06,0.06,-0.07	-0.08	0.04	0.02	25	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06
Kelly Oubre	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Markieff Morris	-0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.39,-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.00	12	33%	-0.23	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51	0.51	0.24	0.32	0.05	25	66%	0.54	1	-0.03	12	92%	0.12
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.01	5	62%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.00	6	71%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.02	6	64%	0.11	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.07	0.02	16	53%	0.15	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	13	43%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	4	-0.11	4	25%	-0.04
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	8	28%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.4	2.5	33.3	15.4	27.3	2.4	34.5	2.4	15.1	161.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.0%

POR +34.3%

WAS -9.4%

WAS -11.0%

WAS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	POR	NBA	WAS	POR	NBA
this game	14.1	15.6	14.9	100.9	109.4	105.1
season	13.8	15.0		104.1	107.1
opponent	14.6	15.1		106.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	14.4	13.8	13.2	16.0	12.4	14.1
POR	15.6	15.6	14.5	15.3	19.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	64	65	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.00	2	-9	11	14.6	13.4	1.28	16.1	14.8	1.36
Kelly Oubre	22	22	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.14	6	-13	19	12.8	14.5	-1.64	14.2	16.0	-1.75
Alan Anderson	2	2	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-3	-1	28.0	13.9	14.14	18.0	15.6	2.43
Otto Porter	61	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-2	-3	13.9	14.4	-0.58	15.4	15.8	-0.38
Garrett Temple	69	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-1	-5	13.1	15.9	-2.86	14.5	17.3	-2.82
Markieff Morris	57	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	0	-7	14.6	13.6	0.93	15.3	16.0	-0.67
Nene	42	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-1	-5	13.8	14.3	-0.47	14.8	16.1	-1.36
Ramon Sessions	66	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.48	1	-8	9	14.5	13.5	1.02	16.2	14.7	1.47
Jared Dudley	77	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-4	1	14.1	14.1	0.03	16.3	13.9	2.37
John Wall	80	79	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.23	-13	6	-19	14.3	13.6	0.69	16.1	14.3	1.77

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	59	61	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.47	16	-9	25	15.3	16.0	-0.62	14.6	13.5	1.12
Meyers Leonard	47	51	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.37	11	-4	15	17.4	14.2	3.14	14.6	13.7	0.89
Ed Davis	64	64	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-8	23	15.8	15.4	0.38	14.2	14.0	0.16
Allen Crabbe	58	60	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.43	1	6	-5	15.5	15.8	-0.29	14.0	14.3	-0.27
Damian Lillard	85	88	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	-2	11	15.8	14.8	1.00	14.3	13.3	1.01
CJ McCollum	75	76	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	3	1	15.6	15.6	-0.05	13.7	15.2	-1.56
Al-Farouq Aminu	61	60	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	11	-15	15.1	16.3	-1.21	13.4	15.0	-1.62
Brian Roberts	11	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.03	-5	12	-17	17.5	15.4	2.16	14.1	14.1	-0.04
Noah Vonleh	24	24	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.11	-2	9	-11	14.2	16.0	-1.82	14.6	14.0	0.60
Mason Plumlee	46	44	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.08	-10	17	-27	14.7	16.3	-1.54	14.1	14.1	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.34,0.25,0.13,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.85,0.75,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.46,0.43,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.77,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 116, CHA 125	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.35,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.41,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.9,1,1	90.9%
ORL 103, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.95,0.89,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.85,1	87.4%
GSW 89, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.96,1	87.3%