NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	144		Excitement	14.7 [10]		MVP	Seth Curry (POR): +42.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	148		Comeback	25.0 [114]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -24.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.01	15	59%	0.20	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.07
Jared Dudley	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.15	-0.00	0.01	8	88%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	8	73%	0.16	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	86%	0.11	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.13	-0.04	0.04	8	86%	0.18	2	-0.13	5	80%	-0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.08,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.03,0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.02	34	51%	0.34	6	-0.34	8	50%	-0.04
Rodions Kurucs	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	8	42%	0.00	2	-0.11	8	50%	-0.09
Joe Harris	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,0,0.06,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	13	41%	-0.04	2	-0.14	6	67%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.43	0.43	0.11	0.32	-0.00	13	62%	0.43	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.10
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.05	0.01	24	57%	0.24	1	-0.09	8	75%	0.08
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	8	67%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	67%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	16	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	13	46%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jake Layman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.07,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.25	-0.25	0.03	-0.25	0.02	30	46%	-0.25	0	0.00	8	87%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	26.0	14.8	28.0	2.0	32.0	2.4	13.3	1.6	29.3	177.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -79.6%

POR +42.5%

POR +37.8%

POR +61.4%

BKN -12.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	POR	NBA	BKN	POR	NBA
this game	13.1	15.3	14.3	117.1	121.3	109.3
season	14.3	14.9		108.6	112.6
opponent	13.9	14.0		109.4	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BKN	15.7	14.0	11.4	13.6	15.6	13.8
POR	15.6	17.9	15.3	13.6	14.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caris LeVert	50	48	0.45	-0.95	1.39	0.18	9	-13	22	13.3	13.0	0.35	16.4	14.6	1.83
Ed Davis	46	46	0.44	-0.94	1.39	0.21	8	-12	20	14.2	12.5	1.70	16.8	14.4	2.40
Rodions Kurucs	39	40	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-6	8	13.0	13.2	-0.15	15.7	15.1	0.58
DeMarre Carroll	75	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-10	16	12.6	13.9	-1.29	16.3	13.7	2.63
Jarrett Allen	58	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	3	-10	13.1	13.2	-0.05	14.3	16.2	-1.96
Jared Dudley	76	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	1	-6	12.9	13.5	-0.65	14.9	15.8	-0.88
Spencer Dinwiddie	87	87	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.46	-10	6	-16	13.2	13.1	0.11	14.9	16.3	-1.48
D'Angelo Russell	91	90	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.52	-9	5	-14	13.2	13.0	0.18	14.9	16.3	-1.39
Joe Harris	93	93	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.49	-14	10	-24	13.1	13.3	-0.18	14.6	17.3	-2.70

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	88	88	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.50	12	-8	20	14.4	17.7	-3.31	12.6	14.4	-1.81
Damian Lillard	104	104	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.47	13	-9	22	14.7	18.4	-3.70	12.7	15.3	-2.52
Jusuf Nurkic	71	72	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.44	12	-8	20	14.8	16.0	-1.23	13.6	12.5	1.16
Rodney Hood	89	90	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.40	5	-1	6	15.3	15.1	0.23	13.1	13.2	-0.03
Seth Curry	83	85	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.38	-1	5	-6	15.2	15.4	-0.18	13.2	12.9	0.38
Anfernee Simons	2	2	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	4	-4	18.5	15.2	3.27	9.0	13.2	-4.20
Al-Farouq Aminu	53	51	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	2	0	14.4	15.9	-1.51	12.3	13.7	-1.36
Jake Layman	28	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	4	-4	15.5	15.2	0.28	13.4	13.0	0.37
Zach Collins	27	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	9	-14	16.9	14.8	2.10	14.3	12.8	1.59
Enes Kanter	42	42	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.10	-6	10	-16	17.3	14.2	3.05	13.7	12.8	0.85
Evan Turner	23	23	-0.50	1.00	-1.51	-0.15	-12	16	-28	18.7	14.5	4.20	14.2	12.9	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.7,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.21,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.27,0.46,0.31,0.46,0.86,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.69,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 129, MIL 130	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.22,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.13,0.54,0.45,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.73,1	88.4%
HOU 97, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.08,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.84,1	87.9%
CLE 103, LAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.23,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.1,0,0,0,0	86.8%