NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	103		Excitement	7.9 [328]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (SAC): +40.1%
Sacramento Kings	112		Comeback	4.5 [755]		LVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): -12.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Daniels	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.00	11	67%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Mikal Bridges	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	9	61%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	16	53%	0.09	3	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Richaun Holmes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.01	9	54%	0.11	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Devin Booker	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	27	50%	0.13	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.06
Elie Okobo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	5	30%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Spalding	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.37,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.19	0.20	-0.01	17	74%	0.40	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	-0.00	20	62%	0.21	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.01	10	59%	0.15	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	78%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.01	13	48%	0.08	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Yogi Ferrell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	75%	0.02	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.04
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	11	27%	-0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	12	41%	-0.04	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	28.4	14.7	27.1	2.4	33.6	133.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +49.7%

PHX -15.4%

SAC +21.8%

PHX -6.8%

SAC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	14.3	104.0	110.9	109.3
season	14.4	13.3		104.8	109.2
opponent	14.3	14.0		110.5	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.5	14.8	15.2	16.3	14.6
SAC	14.6	12.9	12.5	17.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Anthony Melton	44	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.21	5	-14	19	15.9	13.6	2.33	13.1	15.1	-1.91
Jimmer Fredette	10	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	-2	-5	13.7	14.7	-1.04	15.3	14.1	1.28
Ray Spalding	27	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	-1	-7	12.4	15.5	-3.12	16.0	13.5	2.47
Elie Okobo	41	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-2	-5	13.1	15.7	-2.54	16.1	12.9	3.28
Richaun Holmes	41	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	13.8	15.3	-1.50	14.9	13.6	1.30
Deandre Ayton	61	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-5	1	15.0	14.0	0.99	13.6	15.1	-1.50
Troy Daniels	50	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-2	-5	13.4	15.9	-2.46	14.5	13.8	0.72
Dragan Bender	72	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-8	7	15.5	12.4	3.12	13.7	15.4	-1.69
Mikal Bridges	70	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-3	-3	15.6	12.4	3.14	13.5	15.7	-2.18
Devin Booker	79	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-4	-1	14.9	13.5	1.42	13.9	15.5	-1.61

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Bagley III	60	60	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.09	19	-10	29	14.9	13.0	1.93	13.8	15.9	-2.12
Harrison Barnes	73	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-2	13	13.3	16.5	-3.23	15.2	13.0	2.25
Nemanja Bjelica	75	74	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	2	5	13.3	16.8	-3.55	15.1	13.3	1.76
Buddy Hield	75	75	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	-1	11	12.9	17.7	-4.80	15.3	12.5	2.88
De'Aaron Fox	73	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.20	9	0	9	13.5	15.9	-2.34	14.9	14.0	0.89
Bogdan Bogdanovic	45	44	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	6	-3	16.1	12.6	3.42	13.5	15.5	-2.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	38	37	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.16	-8	17	-25	13.0	14.9	-1.83	16.3	13.6	2.65
Kosta Koufos	28	26	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	9	-9	17.0	13.1	3.92	13.3	15.1	-1.85
Yogi Ferrell	10	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	13	-17	18.2	13.7	4.47	11.3	15.0	-3.63
Corey Brewer	28	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	11	-13	16.5	13.3	3.23	13.0	15.2	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.44,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.78,0.98,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 118, LAL 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.53,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.96,1	91.6%
NJN 107, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.93,0.91,1	91.3%
DEN 101, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.8,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	91.2%