NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	120		Excitement	10.9 [52]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (CHI): +53.9%
Chicago Bulls	126		Comeback	1.8 [484]		LVP	Wayne Selden (CHI): -19.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Parker	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.15	0.14	0.00	18	70%	0.37	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Tomas Satoransky	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.01	11	73%	0.20	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	125%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.18,-0.23,-0.16,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.05	-0.03	0.10	0.01	19	51%	0.30	6	-0.25	15	73%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chasson Randle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.10	-0.00	5	75%	0.12	2	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	17	42%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Wesley Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.24,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.54	0.54	0.20	0.33	-0.01	21	71%	0.58	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.09	-0.01	9	72%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.15	0.01	24	49%	0.23	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.03
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	13	62%	0.18	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.02	11	65%	0.22	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	7	50%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Antonio Blakeney	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	10	24%	-0.11	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.3	2.0	23.1	14.7	22.1	2.4	35.3	1.8	17.1	143.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +21.0%

CHI +15.3%

WAS -0.5%

CHI +19.6%

WAS -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	13.4	15.8	14.3	110.1	115.6	109.3
season	13.8	14.6		109.8	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.3		112.4	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	11.4	14.0	14.4	14.1	13.1	13.4
CHI	17.4	16.0	15.6	14.1	15.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	19	20	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.05	6	-12	18	12.9	13.5	-0.57	14.9	15.9	-0.98
Chasson Randle	34	34	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-6	6	12.8	13.7	-0.91	15.5	15.9	-0.41
Tomas Satoransky	68	69	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-11	16	14.0	12.5	1.46	15.7	15.8	-0.08
Jeff Green	44	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-2	-2	13.9	13.1	0.85	16.5	15.2	1.25
Thomas Bryant	33	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-4	2	13.1	13.6	-0.43	14.7	16.2	-1.47
Trevor Ariza	28	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	3	-12	13.6	13.4	0.25	16.6	15.5	1.10
Jabari Parker	80	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-5	4	13.2	13.9	-0.69	15.6	16.2	-0.57
Bobby Portis	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-2	-2	13.6	13.1	0.43	16.2	14.7	1.47
Troy Brown Jr.	62	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.47	-3	-3	0	13.5	13.3	0.14	15.6	15.9	-0.26
Bradley Beal	90	91	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.27	-12	6	-18	13.2	14.5	-1.27	15.7	16.2	-0.50

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	64	64	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.45	16	-10	26	15.5	16.1	-0.61	13.9	12.7	1.21
Shaquille Harrison	81	81	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-8	22	15.7	16.0	-0.33	13.5	13.2	0.23
Lauri Markkanen	77	76	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-6	18	15.6	16.2	-0.66	13.8	12.5	1.39
Kris Dunn	79	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-3	12	15.6	16.2	-0.57	14.1	11.4	2.69
Antonio Blakeney	46	46	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	-4	14	16.3	15.4	0.88	14.4	12.7	1.68
Ryan Arcidiacono	56	57	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	10	-14	16.4	15.0	1.43	12.2	14.7	-2.47
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	56	55	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.19	-9	15	-24	15.1	16.5	-1.44	13.0	13.9	-0.89
Cristiano Felicio	43	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	10	-14	16.3	15.4	0.99	12.7	13.9	-1.20
Wayne Selden	43	42	-0.53	1.03	-1.56	-0.12	-14	20	-34	15.8	15.7	0.06	12.3	14.1	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.66,0.74,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.46,0.69,0.92,0.91,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 101, CHH 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.72,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.99,1	89.7%
HOU 104, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.54,0.86,0.91,0.99,1,1	88.7%
MIA 118, LAL 124	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.74,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.78,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.77,0.83,1	88.3%