NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	118		Excitement	9.7 [113]		MVP	James Ennis III (PHI): +38.0%
Charlotte Hornets	114		Comeback	2.5 [414]		LVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): -13.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Ennis III	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.38	0.11	0.26	-0.00	9	74%	0.38	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Ben Simmons	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.20	0.17	0.01	12	82%	0.39	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.04
Jimmy Butler	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.2,0.1	0.02	0.08	0.01	19	52%	0.14	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
JJ Redick	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.08,0.08	0.15	-0.04	0.03	19	63%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	17	55%	0.08	2	-0.07	6	83%	-0.03
Amir Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonah Bolden	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.19	0.18	0.00	11	76%	0.42	1	-0.05	12	92%	0.12
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	0.00	10	42%	0.05	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.06
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	54%	0.14	2	-0.11	6	67%	-0.03
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.06	-0.01	18	52%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.06	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.03	4	58%	0.01	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	-0.00	10	40%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.4	27.2	14.4	30.5	1.7	38.7	143.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +67.0%

CHA -31.6%

PHI +0.9%

PHI +15.0%

CHA -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	15.4	13.7	14.3	120.4	114.0	109.3
season	14.0	14.6		110.9	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.1		111.6	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.6	14.5	16.5	15.0	15.4
CHA	13.2	14.8	13.0	13.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	80	79	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.47	13	-9	22	15.4	15.2	0.22	14.4	11.3	3.07
Jimmy Butler	77	76	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.50	8	-4	12	15.6	14.6	1.05	14.4	11.5	2.91
Ben Simmons	81	85	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-2	8	14.9	17.9	-3.01	13.3	16.0	-2.69
James Ennis III	45	48	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	0	4	15.0	15.7	-0.65	13.1	14.3	-1.21
JJ Redick	79	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	-4	12	15.3	15.6	-0.29	13.0	16.7	-3.67
Boban Marjanovic	20	18	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	3	-2	16.2	15.2	1.01	14.4	13.6	0.83
Jonah Bolden	25	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.01	-1	5	-6	15.4	15.4	0.00	13.1	13.9	-0.79
Amir Johnson	36	38	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	5	-6	15.4	15.4	-0.06	14.2	13.4	0.72
Mike Scott	26	28	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.03	-8	12	-20	15.6	15.3	0.30	14.4	13.4	1.00
T.J. McConnell	21	21	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.00	-10	14	-24	16.4	15.1	1.31	12.8	14.0	-1.20

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devonte' Graham	30	27	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.05	8	-12	20	13.3	13.9	-0.54	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	21	20	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.06	4	-8	12	12.1	14.1	-2.04	14.4	15.7	-1.25
Shelvin Mack	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-5	6	15.4	13.4	1.99	15.9	15.3	0.55
Frank Kaminsky	51	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.25	6	-10	16	13.3	14.1	-0.77	15.8	14.9	0.93
Bismack Biyombo	42	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	0	-4	14.6	13.1	1.49	14.4	16.1	-1.65
Jeremy Lamb	62	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.43	9	-13	22	14.0	13.3	0.64	14.4	17.0	-2.62
Marvin Williams	48	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	7	-18	13.4	14.0	-0.56	16.5	14.3	2.24
Dwayne Bacon	60	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-3	2	13.1	14.5	-1.40	14.8	16.3	-1.50
Miles Bridges	59	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	5	-14	14.6	12.5	2.11	15.8	14.8	0.98
Nicolas Batum	54	54	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.35	-11	7	-18	13.7	13.7	0.03	16.3	14.3	1.92
Kemba Walker	58	59	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.41	-12	8	-20	13.4	14.1	-0.66	15.8	14.8	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.37,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 101, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.21,0.23,0.41,0	92.3%
CHA 101, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.63,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.16,0	91.7%
NOK 98, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.47,0.4,0.26,0.16,0.23,0.26,0	90.7%